Executing “The Hail Mary” – Fantasy NASCAR Advice
Everyone wants to look like a hero in fantasy racing. The best way to look like a hero is to execute the “Hail Mary” move and climb to the top of the board.
Everyone knows the way to pull this move out of your playbook is to get out of sync with the competition (this means picking Jimmie Johnson to win isn’t going to cut it). So how do you get out of sync with your competition?
The best way to get out of sync with the competition is to
1) Know your competition 2) Study the current weekend and 3) Hope for the best.
1) Know your competition
In fantasy NASCAR it’s extremely important to know your competition. When you really know your competition then they become predictable. A predictable opponent is a beatable opponent. When you know what they’re going to do, than you will know what not to do. If you do the exact same thing that their doing then its impossible to pass them (if you’re behind them).
2) Study the current weekend
Studying the current race weekend is extremely important. What you really want to study is Happy Hour. Qualifying is trivial at most tracks, and practice is a great indicator of what will happen in the race. If a certain driver is really struggling on race weekend, and statistically there a favorite then to me they become the driver who you want to avoid like the plague and hope that others pick them.
3) Hope for the best
In Fantasy Racing I would say I’m very superstitious. It has a pretty big role in how I play. I don’t want to get into this because its complex (LOL), and it would ruin ifantasyrace.com company secrets.
Hoping for the best is one thing where you decide your going to bite the bullet and go for it. Another important element of this is that people have a “luck bank” just like Darrell Waltrip says. If you keep on tapping into it to much don’t expect o have any luck when you really need it.
I’m sure everyone read my prior post about Playing Patiently. The screen cap you see below is from 2008 in Onebadwheel.com‘s then famous Champs, Chumps, and Sleepers game right after the completion of the first segment of the game. Throughout the competition I was studying my competition. When you know your competition and have been studying their prior picks then your able to catch onto trends.
When the final week came around I was in third place. I don’t know about you but third place doesn’t seem appealing to me. I’m sure everyone after my last post was uninspired because I mentioned that I play conservatively. Well I have guts, and in the final week of the competition I went for it. I scored the most points out of anyone (730 players) and I fell 2 points shy of winning. So as you can see executing the “Hail Mary” isn’t full proof. That is why I encourage people to play conservatively throughout the season.