Everyone wants to look like a hero in fantasy racing. The best way to look like a hero is to execute the “Hail Mary” and climb to the top of the board at the last possible moment (Not cool when it falls 1 point short).
The way to execute this move is to get out of sync with the competition. This means picking Carl Edwards won’t cut it.
“Hail Mary” Drivers For Homestead
Greg Biffle – Biffle is a three-time winner at Homestead and most likely not a lot of people are going to pick him. I think 90% of fantasy racers are likely to pick Carl Edwards, Tony Stewart, Matt Kenseth or Jimmie Johnson this week. Lots of people have soured on Greg Biffle this year but he’s had flashes of brilliance for the first half of races and then something happens. At Texas Motor Speedway he ran good at the start, fell off in the middle but at the end he bounced back for perhaps the first time this season. Look for Biffle to be tough on Sunday.
Kevin Harvick – Harvick is a big name driver but he falls outside of my projected 90% Edwards-Stewart-Kenseth-Johnson grouping. In the last three Homestead races he’s finished 3rd, 2nd and 3rd. Homestead has always been a good track for him and he’ll pull out all the stops this weekend.
Marcos Ambrose – Ambrose’s record is terrible at Homestead. His 34.3 average finish should scare off everybody but that makes him all the better for pulling off the “Hail Mary”. What I like about Ambrose is how well he’s run on intermediate tracks this year and his Ford equipment.
Clint Bowyer – This is Bowyer’s final race at RCR and as a result I think most will go out of their way to avoid him. Homestead has been a good track for him and the 33 team. In four out of his five races he’s finished in the top twelve.
Martin Treux Jr. – There’s a lot of tracks where you really can’t count on Treux but Homestead isn’t one of them. Since he’s been racing full-time in the series he has three top tens and a average finish of 7.6 (tied for fourth best). Last year he started 25th, led 62 laps and finished 11th. Truex is good at Homestead because he has the ability to run fast laps around the high line of the progressive banking.