1. Brad Keselowski – Keselowski was my early week favorite and I still like his chances to win the Bristol Food City 500. At Bristol Keselowski has won two out of the last three races and ran well last August until he wrecked. In practice Brad was consistently fast. Across the different practice sessions his ten lap average ranked 2nd, 2nd and 4th. A new fantasy racing tool you should check out is our Bristol 10 Lap Average Big Board. Today in practice his car looked good and he ran a lot of laps. Another factor I like about Keselowski is that he’s been a contender in every race this season.
2. Kyle Busch – Conventional wisdom points towards Kyle Busch finding himself in victory lane on Sunday. He’s starting on the pole, had the best 10 lap average in practice #2, and the second best 10 lap average in Happy Hour. What’s hurting his confidence rankings is all the problems he’s had on the track this year. So far he’s blown up, got speeding penalties, and hit the wall. Crashing could potentially be next on his check list.
3. Kasey Kahne – Kasey Kahne had a pretty good car last August. He started back in 12th and drove up to the lead on lap #108. Once he was out front he paced the field for 42 laps. While he was leading trouble found him. Around lap #150 David Ragan blew up and Kahne got into his oil and had hard contact with the wall. That incident put him a few laps down but he was still able to rebound for a 9th place finish. In the Food City 500 Kahne won’t have to drive through the field to get the lead. He’ll be starting on the front row. In Happy Hour he had the 5th best 10 lap average.
4. Matt Kenseth – Could Matt Kenseth make it two in a row? I think there’s a good chance that could happen. I would feel confident about picking him. He’s been good on the track week in and week out this season. In the Food City 500 Matt Kenseth has a good car underneath him. In the first two practice sessions his 10 lap average ranked 4th in 5th. In Happy Hour he ranked 10th. Matt Kenseth has a good Bristol track record. He crashed while battling for the lead in August but prior to that he had six consecutive top tens at Thunder Valley.