Matt Kenseth – If you’re looking for a good pick for the Atlanta Advocare 500 look no further than Kenseth. He’s never won at Atlanta but he has been very consistent. In the last thirteen Atlanta races he’s finished 13th or better every race. Over those races he has 9 top tens, a 7.4 average finish, a 10.6 average running position, led 205 laps, and the 4th best driver rating. In the last two Atlanta races he’s had consistent results. In both events he finished 9th. In last season’s race he started in 4th, had an 8th place average running position and earned the 7th best driver rating. In 2011 he had one of the strongest cars. In that race he started 6th, had a 6th place average running position, led 64 laps and earned the 2nd best driver rating. What I like about Kenseth’s fantasy value for the Advocare 500 is how strong he’s been on 1.5 mile tracks this season. There’s been five races on tracks of this length and he’s won 3 of them. On these venues this season he has a 6.0 average finish, 5.2 average running position and the best driver rating. My prediction is that Kenseth will win the Atlanta Advocare 500. (Yahoo! A Driver)
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Martin Truex Jr. – Martin Truex Jr. was very good at Atlanta in 2012. A reflection of how good he was is his #1 position in the PROS Rankings. He had this race won last season until there was a late caution. New tires are everything at Atlanta so he was forced to come in for tires like everyone else. On pit road he lost the lead to Denny Hamlin. Then on the final restart he spun his tires which sealed his fate. The strength of his car in race was being good over long runs and being fast in the middle to upper groove. In the race he started back in 28th but he was able to surgically work his way up through the field. In the event he finished 4th, led 40 laps, had a 6th place average running position and earned the 5th best driver rating. This season on 1.5 mile tracks Truex Jr. has been strong. He has a 6.0 average finish and is the only driver in the series who’s finished in the top ten every race. (Yahoo! B Driver)
NOTE: Martin Truex Jr. injured his wrist following his accident at Bristol. Because of his injury I would drop his fantasy value about -5 drivers in this post.
Jimmie Johnson – Atlanta has been a good track for Jimmie Johnson. He’s a three-time winner who’s finished in the top five in over half his starts. He’s also an extremely safe option because since 2006 he’s only finished lower than 13th twice. One of those finishes outside of that range came in last years event. In 2012 he had a good car but it wasn’t great. I would say it was top six good because before he wrecked with 56 laps to go I would estimate his average running position was right around 6th. In his next two most recent races at Atlanta he’s recorded finishes of 2nd and 3rd. This season on 1.5 mile tracks Jimmie Johnson has been very good. He only has one top five finish but he’s had a result in the top ten in 80% percent of the races. He nearly won at the last 1.5 mile track visited but he had restart issues late that doomed him. Look for Jimmie Johnson to be very good in the Atlanta Advocare 500. (Yahoo! A Driver)