Richmond Fantasy NASCAR Personal / Comparative Fantasy Values
Drivers have two types of fantasy value every week. They have Personal Fantasy Value and Comparative Fantasy Value.
Personal Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver is at a certain track compared to the other venues on the circuit.
Comparative Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver compares to the competition at a certain track.
Let’s talk about Jimmie Johnson’s fantasy values at Richmond. His Personal Fantasy Value is low. You’re probably wondering how in the world can it be low? The reason why it’s low is because Richmond hasn’t been a good track for him. His average finish is 16.96. At no other venue is he lower in that statistic. Also it should be noted Richmond is home to his worst top ten finish percentage (37%) and third worst top twenty finish percentage (63%).
Johnson’s Comparative Fantasy Value is high. I expect him to be competitive as long as he can avoid problems. Since 2009 minus the races where he’s avoided trouble he’s finished in the top 13 every race.
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