Kansas Hollywood Casino 400 Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – I don’t know what happened to Ricky Stenhouse Jr. but he’s been performing much better recently. Over the last five races he’s scored the 13th most points and has a 13.6 average finish. His recent momentum might be more important than his Kansas track history. At Kansas Stenhouse Jr. has been a high-teens to mid-twenties driver. In the last three Kansas races he’s finished within that range. Over these events he has a 21.7 average finish, 22.0 average running position and has run a paltry 1.8% percent of the laps in the top fifteen. This spring he finished right where he should’ve. He finished 24th, earned the 24th best driver rating and had a 22nd place average running position. For nearly the entirety of the event he ran within a +5/-5 deviation of 23rd. Last October he finished 19th, had a 21st place average running position and earned the 21st best driver rating. From lap 60 to the conclusion of the event he essentially ran between 17th and 27th. In spring 2014 at Kansas he had a similar race except finished a little worse. He started in 20th, had a 23rd place average running position and finished 22nd. His driver rating for the event ranked as the 23rd best. In 2013 at Kansas he was a qualifying ace and started 2nd and 3rd. In spring 2013 he had a pretty good performance. He finished 11th, had an 11th place average running position, led 26 laps and earned the 8th best driver rating. He likely would’ve finished better but while he was leading he came in for a pit stop under green and shortly after that a caution came out that trapped him a lap down. In the fall race that season he didn’t back up his performance. He started in 2nd and by lap 15 he was already outside of the top ten. In the race he finished 30th, had a 17th place average running position and earned the 21st best driver rating. On lap 167 in that event he got into the wall. (Yahoo B Driver)

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Clint Bowyer – I wouldn’t hold out too much hope for Clint Bowyer at Kansas. This year at 1.5 mile tracks with the exception of the fall Charlotte race he’s typically looked like a 20th place performer. In the last three Kansas races he’s finished right around that range. This spring at Kansas he started 21st and finished 21st. If anything I wouldn’t say he was quite that good. Performance wise I think he was really about 26th place good. Last fall he didn’t have a strong showing. He started 19th, had a 19th place average running position and finished 18th. In spring 2014 Bowyer started in 23rd and finished 23rd. His race wasn’t incident free. On lap 47 while he was running around 18th he spun. He didn’t hit anything but it did drop him two laps down. Then later in the race with about 96 laps to go he fell down his third lap under green. In fall 2013 he finished 14th but by his own admission he had a terrible car. He ran well in some portions of the race but he really wasn’t that good. He earned the 15th best driver rating and had a 15th place average running position. I would say his 15th place average running position is a little deceiving because if it wasn’t for a portion of the race where he used pit strategy and ran near the front it likely would’ve been in the high teens. In the first two races on the new surface he was impressive. In spring 2013 he started in 10th, had a 7th place average running position, finished 5th and earned the 5th best driver rating. In fall 2012 in the first race on the current track configuration he started in 3rd, finished 6th and had a 6th place average running position. In the race he also earned the third best driver rating and ran the highest percentage of laps inside the top fifteen (99%). (Yahoo B Driver)

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Greg Biffle – I don’t see logic in picking Biffle. The 16 team isn’t competitive and their likely not going to finish well. They’ve only gotten worse as the season has progressed. On paper Kansas ranks as one of Biffle’s best tracks. That said I wouldn’t read too much into his history and mostly focus on how he’s performed in 2015. In the last four Kansas races Biffle has finished between 12th and 16th. This spring he finished 12th but it should be noted his average running position was 20th. Last fall he had a decent afternoon when you consider with 38 laps to go while he was running in 13th he brought out the caution after he got into the wall. When the checkered flag waved he finished 15th, had a 16th place average running position and earned the 18th best driver rating. In spring 2014 he had a similar afternoon. He had a 15th place average running position, finished 16th and earned the 17th best driver rating. In fall 2013 Biffle had a 13th place result but he’s lucky he finished that good. In the race he started in 26th, had a 20th place average running position and earned the 20th best driver rating. In spring 2013 Biffle had an up and down day. He ran well in portions of the race and not so well in others. He finished 19th but it’s important to note his car was better than that. He was a driver who was out of sequence with the field and got burned late in the race after he completed his pit stop when Keselwoski’s rear quarter panel fell off his car. In the race he had a 14th place average running position and earned the 14th best driver rating. In the first race on the new layout he had one of the fastest cars early but his race wasn’t incident free. In that event he got a speeding penalty and with 93 laps to go while running in 3rd he got into the wall. Prior to the Kansas repaving he had 7 straight top tens. (Yahoo B Driver)

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