Texas Duck Commander 500 Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions
Greg Biffle – Texas has historically been a great track for Biffle. He’s won here twice and has finished in the top ten 54% percent of the time. Not that long ago at Texas he had a ten race top 10 streak. That streak snapped five races ago. Over the last five events he’s been a respectable performer. In those events he has a 13.4 average finish and a 15th place average running position. Last fall Biffle ran well in the middle segment of the race and showed top ten potential. Over the final quarter he didn’t run as well. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 19th, earned the 20th best driver rating and had a 16th place average running position. Last April he didn’t run well and finished 17th. In the race it should be noted he had a 21st place average running position and earned the 20th best driver rating. In Fall 2014 Biffle walked away with an asterisk mark result. Outside of the last 100 laps he never really ran higher than 18th. He largely owes his good result to pit strategy and how the end of the race played out. When the checkered flag waved he finished 13th, had a 19th place average running position and earned the 20th best driver rating. In spring 2014 Biffle ran well. He started in 4th, finished 6th, had a 5th place average running position and earned the 5th best driver rating. This year at intermediate tracks minus Auto Club Speedway where his engine couldn’t go the distance he has results of 13th (Atlanta) and 20th (Las Vegas). (Yahoo B Driver / Draftkings $6,500)
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AJ Allmendinger – In the last four Texas races AJ Allmendinger has two results in the teens, and two results in the low twenties. Over these events he has an 18.8 average finish, 22.0 average running position and the 27th best driver rating. Last fall he had an OK showing. In the first half of the event he looked low teens good but in the second half he looked about 20th place good. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 17th, had an 18th place average running position and earned the 19th best driver rating. Last spring he didn’t have a good race. He started 26th, had a 25th place average running position and finished 21st. Where he finished is about the highest he ran all race long. In fall 2014 he walked away with a respectable 14th place finish. In spring 2014 he wasn’t competitive. He started 33rd, earned the 27th best driver rating, had a 24th place average running position and finished 23rd. In the last two races on this track type this season Allmendinger has results of 8th (Auto Club) and 14th (Las Vegas). At Atlanta he didn’t run well and finished 27th. (Yahoo B Driver / Draftkings $6,200)
Further Recommended Reading – Texas Top Tier Elite Picks, Texas Front Runner Rankings, Fantasy NASCAR Scouting Report – Texas, DraftKings Texas Fall 2015 Points
Aric Almirola – Aric Almirola is a dark horse driver at Texas. His track record isn’t great but he’s capable of coming home with good results at 1.5 mile tracks. In his 8 Texas races since he’s been a full-time driver in the #43 he has 1 top ten, an 18.0 average finish and a 19.3 average running position. Last fall for probably about 75% percent of the race he ran between 15th and 20th. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 18th, had a 21st place average running position and earned the 22nd best driver rating. In spring 2015 he just wasn’t competitive and finished 19th. From lap 40 to the completion of the event he ran within a few deviations of his finish position. In fall 2014 he also didn’t run that great. He finished 24th, had a 26th place average running position and earned the 26th best driver rating. In spring 2014 he had a good showing and finished 12th. From about lap 140 to the conclusion of the race he ran right around 14th. In fall 2013 he didn’t run well and finished 27th. In spring 2013 he had his best Texas result and finished 7th. Atlanta is the most similar track visited this season and at that venue he finished 15th. (Yahoo B Driver / Draftkings $6,600)
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