Dover Fantasy NASCAR Front Runner Rankings

Kyle Larson – Kyle Larson will be a driver to watch at Dover. It’s a great track for him and statistically it ranks as one of his very best. In his four races at the Monster Mile he has a 7.3 average finish and a 9.8 average running position. Last fall when qualifying was canceled he started 19th, finished 9th and had an 8th place average running position. Performance wise I think he was top five good but eased up at the end to likely help teammate McMurray’s Chase chances (Yahoo Race Chart). In spring 2015 he had a strong showing. He finished 3rd, earned the 4th best driver rating and had an 8th place average running position. In fall 2014 he also had a good afternoon and came home with a 6th place result. In that race he started 7th, earned the 7th best driver rating and had a 9th place average running position. Over the last 140 laps he essentially ran 6th or better. In spring 2014 he didn’t run quite as well but his 11th place finish is very respectable for his first start at the Monster Mile. In that event he had a 14th place average running position and earned the 15th best driver rating. One strength of his at Dover is starting up front. His average starting position when qualifying is held is 5.0. One attribute that I like about Kyle Larson is that he’s been running better the last month and a half. (Yahoo B Driver)

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Ryan Newman – Early in Ryan Newman’s career he was “money in the bank” at Dover winning in 3 of his first 6 races. Recently he’s done OK. Last fall Newman finished 19th. By no means is that a great result but in that particular event I don’t think he tried very hard. His objective that afternoon was to avoid a bad result and to accomplish that task he essentially took the afternoon off. Last spring he ran well but finished a misleading 18th. The reason for his lack luster result can be traced to him having speculated loose lug nuts and pitting twice around lap 250. That issue dropped him three laps down to 29th. Prior to that issue he was running just outside the top ten. In fall 2014 Newman had a solid afternoon. He started in 20th and slowly crept up to his 8th place finish. It should also be noted in the event he had a 12th place average running position and earned the 14th best driver rating. In June 2014 he finished 31st but you can put an asterisk mark next to that result. In the event he had an up and down day. He started in 14th and in the first third of the race he was a low twenties performer. By lap 118 he found himself a lap down. Then later in the race after he got the Lucky Dog he started to rebound. Unfortunately his race wasn’t incident free. On lap 320 he said his transmission was stuck and that issue sent him to the garage. At the time of his trouble he was running around 9th place. In fall 2013 Newman had a solid race. He started in 3rd, had a 6th place average running position, earned the 7th best driver and finished 8th. (Yahoo B Driver)

Read our Top Tier Elite Picks post and find out what drivers rank as the best of the best at Dover

Jamie McMurray – Jamie McMurray has been a very respectable performer at Dover recently. In the last 5 races he has a 10.6 average starting position, 13.8 average running position and an 11.4 average finish. Last year at the Monster Mile he scored the 4th most points and was one of five drivers who finished in the top ten both events. In October 2015 when he was up for Chase elimination he had a great performance but came up short. When the race reached it’s conclusion he finished 4th, had a 9th place average running position and earned the 9th best driver rating. In spring 2015 he had a quality performance but finished a little better than he performed. In the race he started 11th, had a 13th place average running position and finished 7th. Performance wise his average running position is a better indicator towards how strong he was because at the end there was mass carnage. In fall 2014 McMurray didn’t have the greatest performance. He started in 5th and through the first 76 laps I would estimate he had around an 8th place average running position. During that pit stop he must’ve had some sort of issue because he dropped down almost 10 positions back to 18th. After the second caution he was never competitive and his afternoon went downhill. When the checkered flag waved he finished two laps down in 22nd. In spring 2014 he finished 13th even though his race wasn’t incident free. In the first half of the event the concrete surface came up and damaged his car. In fall 2013 he had a good performance. He started 7th, earned the 9th best driver rating, had a 10th place average running position and finished 11th. In spring 2013 he finished 33rd but that result deserves an asterisk mark. In the event he had top ten potential but with 74 laps to go he had a cut tire and got into the wall. When he had that problem he was running in 9th place. (Yahoo B Driver)

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