Sonoma Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Denny Hamlin – Denny Hamlin should be avoided at road courses. His confidence on this track type is non-existent. He enters road course weekends defeated before the green flag waves. Over the last 12 road course races he has a best result of 18th and a 29.2 average finish. Last summer at Sonoma he had his best result over the last six races. He started 15th, finished 18th and had a 26th place average running position. In 2014 he showed promise and was better than his 26th place finish. In that race with 11 laps to go while he was running in 15th he was spun by Newman which led to his 26th place finish. His average running position that afternoon was 15th. In 2013 he didn’t run well. He finished 23rd, had a 24th place average running position and earned the 22nd best driver rating. Early in the race it looked like he had a low teen’s car but around lap 30 under caution he got busted speeding on pit road. Later in the race on lap 67 Tony Stewart got into the back of him and it dropped Hamlin to 33rd in the running order. In the three Sonoma races prior to that he finished 34th, 35th and 37th. What makes his lack of success really puzzling is that in 3 of his first 4 Sonoma races he finished in the top ten.

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Danica Patrick – At Sonoma you should probably count on Danica Patrick finishing between 17th and 24th. In her last five races on this track type she’s finished within that range. At Sonoma Danica Patrick’s raced here three times and has a 23.7 average finish. Last year she didn’t have a strong showing. She started 21st, had a 21st place average running position and finished 24th. In 2014 she had her strongest showing at this serpentine track. In that race she started 11th, had a 23rd place average running position and finished 18th. In 2013 she didn’t have a good day. She started in 31st and around lap 20 while she was running in 34th she spun. That kicked her back into the 40′s in the running order. Then later in the race on lap 61 she had a tire going down and spun again. In that race Patrick had a 32nd place average running position and finished 29th. Last August at Watkins Glen Danica Patrick finished 17th.

Make sure you read the full spectrum of our 2016 Sonoma Fantasy NASCAR Rankings

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