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Brad Keselowski – Brad Keselowski can be counted on for a good finish at Texas and should be considered a favorite. This year at intermediate tracks he’s been very strong. He has a 2.7 average finish, 7.7 average running position and has led 110 laps. At the two 1.5 mile tracks visited he was arguably the best performer. He snuck in a win at Atlanta and would’ve won at Las Vegas if he didn’t have problems late. Between the two tracks Las Vegas should have a higher level of correlation. When the checkered flag waved that afternoon he finished 5th (had problems during the closing laps), led 89 laps and had a 2nd place average running position. Over the six combined races at intermediate tracks in lowest down force package races Keselowski has a series best 2.7 average result and has finished in the top five every race. (Yahoo A Driver)

Martin Truex Jr. – This year at intermediate tracks the #78 team has arguably been the strongest in the series. Over the three combined races on this track type he has the best driver rating, a 4.3 average finish, 4.3 average running position and has led 223 laps. Between the three intermediate tracks visited I view Las Vegas as the most similar track. At that venue he raced his way to victory lane, had a 2nd place average running position, led 150 laps and earned a near perfect driver rating. Last year at Kentucky which is a very similar situation to what we’ll see on Sunday (newly repaved and reconfigured) Truex Jr. was the driver to beat and likely would’ve won if he didn’t get a pit penalty. Look for Truex Jr. to compete for a top five and be serious challenger to win. (Yahoo A Driver)

Kyle Larson – Kyle Larson will be one of the drivers to beat at Texas. Week in and week out he’s performed at an extremely high level and I expect that variable to translate into continued success in the Lone Star State. Texas should be approached as a new track and in my opinion the best way to gauge drivers fantasy value is to evaluate how they’ve performed at similar tracks this year. This season at intermediate tracks Kyle Larson has been a fantasy ace. He won at the most recent intermediate track visited (Auto Club), and finished runner-up at the other two (Las Vegas and Atlanta). Between those three races he has a series best 1.7 average finish, is tied for the best average running position (4.3), has scored the 2nd most points, has the second best driver rating and has led the 3rd most laps. It should also be noted he’s one of just two drivers who have finished in the top five in all three races at intermediate tracks this year. Over the six combined races at intermediate tracks where the lowest down force package was used Larson has the best driver rating and a 4.7 average finish. (Yahoo B Driver)

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