Dover Fantasy NASCAR “The Low Tier”
Danica Patrick – In 7 of Danica Patrick’s 9 Dover races she’s finished in the twenties. Some good news is that she’s finished in the teens twice and both of those good finishes came in the last two spring races. Last fall she was extremely uncompetitive. She finished 28th and had a 31st place average running position, she didn’t have any problems, she was just that bad. Last spring Danica Patrick had her lone lead lap finish and came home with a 13th place result. Don’t get to excited because she got lapped multiple times, she went her first lap down on lap 26. Her good result can be chalked up to an extreme level of attrition. In fall 2015 she was a twenties driver throughout the event. In the race she started 24th, had a 24th place average running position and finished 21st. In spring 2015 she had one of her best Dover afternoons and finished 15th despite getting a speeding penalty under green. Her 15th does need an asterisk mark though because she finished 3 laps down. In her five Dover races prior to that she finished between 23rd and 29th. (Yahoo B Driver)
David Ragan – Unless attrition really plays a part at Dover look for David Ragan to be a mid-twenties driver at best. If the race takes on a green flag complexion he’ll be in big trouble. Last fall’s race was full of green flag runs and in that event he finished 30th and had a 29th place average running position. In spring 2016 the attrition rate was sky high and in that event he escaped with a 17th place finish. (Yahoo C Driver)
Landon Cassill – Unless attrition is high probably not a lot of good will come from picking Landon Cassill. His average finish is 32.5 and he’s only finished better than 23rd once in his 13 starts. From a performance perspective I would consider a mid-twenties finish a good day. Last fall he didn’t run well. He finished 29th and had a 27th place average running position. In spring 2016 the attrition rate was sky high and in that event he finished 19th (4 laps down). (Yahoo C Driver)
Michael McDowell – At Dover Michael McDowell has a 37.2 average finish! I wouldn’t read into that too much. Last fall he missed the race because Ty Dillon drove the #95. In spring 2016 the attrition rate was sky high and in that event he finished 20th. In the 9 Dover races prior to that he finished 38th or worse every race. Since his track record is so poor I think I would write him down for a mid-twenties finish. (Yahoo C Driver)
Cole Whitt – I’m not holding out any hope for Cole Whitt. He’s raced here six times and in all of those events he’s finished between 26th and 30th. On Sunday I would look for him to have a similar result. (Yahoo C Driver)
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