1) Martin Truex Jr. (Starting – 1st)
New Hampshire Fantasy Spin – Fresh off a dominate win at Kentucky I wouldn’t be surprised if Truex Jr. could get anther “W” at New Hampshire. He’s starting on the pole and he has a great car this weekend. Last year at “The Magic Mile” he was one of the strongest drivers between the combined events. Performance wise he was capable of winning both races. In practice the #78 car was very good. Harvick said he rotated in the corners better than anyone and in Happy Hour his ten lap average ranked as the best. On Sunday I would look for him to finish in the top five and compete for the win.
New Hampshire Track History – New Hampshire is a second home track for Martin Truex Jr. and he’s capable of running extremely well here. Last year he ranked as one of the strongest drivers between the combined events. Between the two races he earned the 3rd best driver rating, had a 3rd place average running position, led the most laps and had a misleading 11.5 average result. Last fall he ran extremely well but had some trouble during late restarts that dropped him back in the running order. If there wasn’t late cautions he likely would’ve finished 2nd. When the checkered flag waved he finished 7th, earned the best driver rating, had a 2nd place average running position and led a race high 141 laps. Last July he was the driver to beat but finished a misleading 16th after breaking his shifter while leading. Prior to that problem he led 123 laps. In our exclusive PROS Rankings he ranked as the best in that race. In the five New Hampshire races prior to that he finished between 8th and 12th. His average result over that stretch was 10.8.
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Further Recommended Reading – Practice Notes/Practice Speeds Center, 10 Lap Average Speed Cheat Sheet, DraftKings Playability Value Chart, Likely Finish Ranges, PROS Rankings, PROS Rankings Extended Edition, Qualifying Results, Yahoo Start Page, DraftKings Start Page
2) Kyle Busch (Starting – 7th)
New Hampshire Fantasy Spin – Kyle Busch will be one of the drivers to beat at New Hampshire. His track record is impeccable and in 7 of the last 8 races he’s finished in the top 8. This year at shorter flat tracks that correlate to success Kyle Busch has been very good. He had the best car at Phoenix (late caution took away a certain victory), and was running in 2nd at Richmond until he got a late pit penalty. In practice he was very quick. In practice #2 he had the 2nd best ten lap average and in Happy Hour he ranked as the 4th best. Performance wise on Sunday I would look for him to compete for a top five and be a factor to win.
New Hampshire Track History – Kyle Busch has been extremely strong in recent New Hampshire races. As you read above in 7 of the last 8 he’s finished in the top 8. In 5 of those 8 races he’s finished in the top 3. Last fall Busch was very strong. He finished 3rd and earned the 3rd best driver rating. In summer 2016 he had a great car. He earned the best driver rating, had a 2nd place average running position, led a race high 133 laps but finished a misleading 8th. Strength wise he was top 3 good but he got shuffled back late. In fall 2015 he was top ten good but a flat tire on lap 160 while running in 9th which sent him to the garage and led to his misleading 37th place result. In July 2015 he was top five good but raced his way to victory lane after getting a lucky break when a caution came out at a favorable time. Additionally in that race he earned the best driver rating and had a 3rd place average running position. In the four races prior to that he had results of 8th, 2nd, 2nd and 2nd.
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3) Matt Kenseth (Starting – 3rd)
New Hampshire Fantasy Spin – Matt Kenseth has been in a slump in recent weeks but don’t count him out at New Hampshire. The “Magic Mile” has been a great track for him and since 2013 he’s arguably been the best driver in the series. Currently at New Hampshire he has three straight top 2 results, you can’t say that about anybody else. On Sunday look for him to run well and compete for a top five finish. In Saturday’s practice sessions his ten lap averages ranked as the 6th and 7th best.
New Hampshire Track History – New Hampshire has been a great track for Matt Kenseth. Since he joined Joe Gibbs Racing he’s won 3 races and has only once finished outside the top ten. Over the last four New Hampshire races Kenseth has the best driver rating, best average finish (2.5), second best average running position (5.8) and has led 170 laps. Last fall if there wasn’t a late caution he likely would’ve won. Instead he got passed late which led to him finishing 2nd. Additionally in the race he earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 2nd place average running position and led the second most laps (105 laps). In our PROS Rankings he ranked as having the best car. Last summer he raced his way to victory lane. Additionally in the race he earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position and led 38 laps. In fall 2015 he also raced his way to victory lane after Kevin Harvick ran out of gas in the losing laps. In that race he earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position and led 27 laps. In summer 2015 he overcame a speeding penalty while running in the top ten in the first third of the race and finished 6th.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings $9,300