1) Martin Truex Jr. (Starting – 5th)
New Hampshire Fantasy Spin – Martin Truex Jr. has become a premiere performer at New Hampshire. In the last three races at the “Magic Mile” he’s been extremely strong and has been in contention to win every race. Over those three races he has the best driver rating, the best average running position (3.7), has led the most laps (401) and has a misleading 8.7 average finish. I’m pretty certain we won’t see a performance drop off because Richmond is a similar track and a few weeks ago at that venue he led 198 laps and would’ve won if there wasn’t a late caution. With Truex already being locked into the next round of the Playoffs that will give him certain advantages over many others. In practice the #78 car was fast. In practice #2 he had the best ten lap average and in Happy Hour he ranked as the 3rd best. On Sunday look for Truex to finish in the top five and compete for the win.
New Hampshire Track History – In recent New Hampshire races nobody has been more impressive than Martin Truex Jr. As you read above over the last three races he’s been very strong. This summer he had a great car. When the checkered flag waved he finished 3rd, earned the best driver rating, had the best PROS Ranking and led a race high 137 laps. His afternoon wasn’t incident free because he had to make an unexpected pit stop in the last third of the race which ultimately had him on older tires than the competition at the end. Prior to make his unplanned stop he was the race leader. Last fall he was also really good but he struggled during some late restarts which led to his 7th place finish. Additionally he earned the best driver rating, had a 2nd place average running position and led a race high 141 laps. In July 2016 he absolutely had one of the best cars but finished an asterisk mark 16th after breaking his shifter. Prior to that problem he was the race leader. In that event he led 123 laps.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings $10,500
2) Kyle Busch (Starting – 1st)
New Hampshire Fantasy Spin – Kyle Busch is a strong competitor at New Hampshire, and with him starting on the pole you know he’ll be good. Since 2013 minus fall 2015 he has a 4.8 average finish and a 5.3 average running position. In recent New Hampshire races he’s been knocking on the door to victory lane having led +95 laps in 3 of the last 6 races. This summer he was extremely strong and was top two good but walked away with a misleading result. In practice Busch was strong. In both Happy Hour and Practice #2 his ten lap average ranked as the 4th best. On Sunday I would look for Busch to finish in the top five and compete for the win.
New Hampshire Track History – Kyle Busch is an elite driver at New Hampshire and recently performance wise he’s almost always top five good. This summer he had a great car and was a factor to win but finished a misleading 12th. I will note that’s a misleading result. While he was leading with 62 laps to go he was caught speeding on pit road which dropped him a lap down. Additionally it should be noted he won Stage #2, earned the 2nd best PROS Ranking, earned had the 3rd best driver rating and led 95 laps. Last fall he had a great car. He finished 3rd, earned the 3rd best driver rating and had a 5th place average running position. In summer 2016 he had a very strong showing. In that event he earned the best driver rating, had a 2nd place average running position, led the most laps (133) and finished 8th. He was easily top 3 good but late in the race he got shuffled back. In fall 2015 he wrecked after getting a flat tire while running in the top ten. In 4 of the 5 New Hampshire races prior to that he finished in the top two.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings $10,700
Further Recommended Reading – New Hampshire Practice Notes/ Practice Speeds Center, Speed Cheat Sheet, Likely Finish Ranges, DraftKings Playability Value Chart/Projected Base Scores, New Hampshire Qualifying Results, DraftKings Start Page, Yahoo Start Page
3) Denny Hamlin (Starting – 3rd)
New Hampshire Fantasy Spin – Denny Hamlin is an elite competitor at shorter flat tracks who should be on your short list of favorites. At New Hampshire Denny Hamlin is the most recent winner and is one of the best picks you can make. At “The Magic Mile” he’s a three-time winner who’s finished in the top five 39% percent of the time, in the top ten 61% percent of the time and in the top fifteen 87% percent of the time. This year at shorter flat tracks Hamlin ranks as one of the best performers. On this track type his 4.8 average result is tied for the best, and he’s the only driver who’s finished in the top ten every race. On Sunday look for Hamlin to finish in the top five and compete for the win. One attribute I really about Hamlin is his momentum. In 6 of the last 7 races this season he’s finished in the top five.
New Hampshire Track History – Denny Hamlin is a very strong performer at New Hampshire. This summer he raced his way to victory lane. In the race earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 4th place average running position and led 54 laps. I will note “performance wise” I thought he had the 3rd best car. Last fall he didn’t have the greatest car and finished a slightly misleading 15th. With 30 laps to go during pit stops he had an uncontrolled tire. It should be noted in that race he earned the 10th best driver rating and had an 11th place average running position. In July 2016 he had a strong performance. He finished 9th, earned the 5th best driver rating and had a 7th place average running position. In fall 2015 Hamlin finished runner-up.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings $9,900