1) Martin Truex Jr. (Starting –7th)
Texas Fantasy Spin – Martin Truex Jr. will be the driver to beat at Texas. He’s been historically great at 1.5 mile tracks and has won the last four races at these venues. Over the combined 9 races at 1.5 mile tracks this season he has 6 wins, a 2.8 average finish, a 4.8 average running position, has led 947 laps and is the only driver who’s finished in the top ten every race. Earlier this year at Texas, Truex Jr. ran well and had a strong showing. His team is performing at an even higher level now so you know he’ll be good. In Happy Hour Truex Jr. was fast and his ten lap average ranked as the 5th best. On Sunday look for Truex to finish in the top five and be a serious threat to win.
Texas Track History – This spring Truex Jr. had a strong showing. When the race reached its conclusion he earned the 3rd best driver rating, had a 6th place average running position, finished 8th and led 49 laps. I will note he was better than his result but some late pit strategy hurt him. It’s important to note right now his team is better than they were earlier this season at 1.5 mile tracks.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings $11,000
2) Kevin Harvick (Starting – 3rd)
Texas Fantasy Spin – Kevin Harvick should be counted on for a strong performance at Texas. He ran well this spring, and recently he’s been one of the best drivers at 1.5 mile tracks. In the Playoffs at tracks of this length he’s scored the most points, has two 3rd place finishes and a 4.7 average result. This spring at Texas Harvick had one of the best cars and I think he has a great chance of duplicating that success. In Happy Hour Kevin Harvick was fast and his ten lap average ranked as the 3rd best. On Sunday I would look for Harvick to compete for a top five finish and perhaps challenge for the win.
Texas Track History – Earlier this year Kevin Harvick had a great car that was arguably one of the best. When the checkered flag waved he earned the best driver rating, had a 3rd place average running position, finished 4th and led 77 laps.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings $9,800
3) Kyle Busch (Starting – 5th)
Texas Fantasy Spin – Kyle Busch will be a tough competitor at Texas. He’s an elite performer at 1.5 mile tracks and ranks as one of the strongest competitors. In recent races at 1.5 mile tracks he’s been one of the best even though his results don’t show it. This spring at Texas, Busch didn’t run well. Don’t let that scare you away. In terms of evaluating his fantasy value I’m putting ZERO stock in that performance. It was early in the season and Joe Gibbs Racing wasn’t prepared for the new un-tested surface, they’ll be much better prepared this time around. On Sunday look for Busch to finish in the top five and compete for the win.
Texas Track History – This spring at Texas, Kyle Busch didn’t run well. He finished 15th, had a 14th place average running position and earned the 14th best driver rating. I wouldn’t be concerned about that performance at all though. His team is much more competitive now than they were early in the season.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings $10,600