1) Kyle Busch (Starting – 1st)
Bristol Fantasy Spin – Kyle Busch is fresh off a win at Texas and he’ll have a great chance to get his second victory in a row at Bristol. He’s the most recent winner at Thunder Valley and he performs at an extremely high-level, even though his results frequently don’t show it. If he has an incident free race I fully expect him to compete for the win. Having an incident free race is a big “if”, since in 5 of the last 7 races he’s finished 29th or worse. One attribute I like about points leader Kyle Busch is how well he’s performing on a weekly basis this year. Over the last five races he has a 2.0 average finish and has had a result in the top 3 every race. In Happy Hour Busch appeared to have a lot of speed. His 15 lap average ranked as the best.
Bristol Track History – Last summer at Bristol, Kyle Busch had a great car and raced his way to his 6th win at Thunder Valley. In the race he won Stage #1 and probably would’ve won Stage #2 if there wasn’t a late caution. Also in the race he earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 3rd place average running position and led 156 laps. In our exclusive PROS Rankings he ranked #1. Last spring I thought he was high-single digits good but he had multiple cut tires which derailed his afternoon and led to a 35th place finish. In summer 2016 he led over half the race (256 laps) and had the dominant car but his track bar broke on lap 358 and that led to him wrecking (finished 38th). In spring 2016 he had top five potential but he got into the wall a few times and was also spun.
DraftKings Price – $11,300
2) Kyle Larson (Starting – 6th)
Bristol Fantasy Spin – Kyle Larson will be a contender at Bristol. He runs extremely well here and was one of just three drivers who swept the top ten last year. At Bristol he really shines at running the high-line and when he runs that groove he’s frequently the fastest driver on the track. On Sunday if Larson has an incident free race I would look for him to finish in the top five and compete for the win.
Bristol Track History – In 2017 at Bristol, Kyle Larson had a great season. Last fall he ran well. He finished 9th, earned the 3rd best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position and led 70 laps. Additionally he finished 3rd in Stage #1 and 6th in Stage #2. Last spring he ranked as one of the strongest performers. He led a race high 202 laps, had a 4th place average running position and finished 6th. Also in that race he won Stage #1 and finished 7th in Stage #2. In summer 2016 he had a great car and had to work his way to the front multiple times. He was caught speeding on pit road on lap 77 while running in 3rd, spun on lap 308 while running in 4th, but then he was later caught up in the Kyle Busch carnage while running in 6th which led to his 24th place finish. In spring 2016 I thought he was top five good but his race wasn’t incident free. While he was running in 3rd on lap 147 his track bar broke which sent him to the garage.
DraftKings Price – $9,700
Further Recommended: Practice Notes/ Practice Speeds Center, DraftKings Playability Value Chart, Likely Finish Ranges, Speed Cheat Sheet, DraftKings Start Page, Fantasy NASCAR Start Page, Starting Lineup
3) Joey Logano (Starting – 10th)
Bristol Fantasy Spin – Joey Logano is a two-time winner at Bristol who should be counted on for a strong performance. He runs extremely well here and has done a good job avoiding trouble. Over the last five races he has a 7.8 average finish, a 9.6 average running position, and has the 2nd best driver rating (among drivers who competed in every race). One attribute I like about Logano is how well he’s run on a weekly basis this year with 6 of his 7 results being between 4th to 7th. On Sunday I would look for Logano to compete for a top five.
Bristol Track History – As you read above in recent races at Bristol Logano has run well. Last fall when he was in a slump he had a respectable showing. He finished 13th and had a 12th place average running position. Last spring he had one of the best cars and was a factor to win. He finished 5th, had a 4th place average running position, earned the 4th best driver rating and led 72 laps. Additionally he finished 4th in Stage #1, and 2nd in Stage #2. In 2016 he was one of two drivers who swept the top ten. In summer 2016 he had a strong car. When the checkered flag waved he finished 10th, had a 12th place average running position and led 38 laps. In spring 2016 he had a great car and finished 10th. That’s a remarkable result when you take into account a speeding penalty, a lug nut problem and a battery issue. His last problem happened with 35 laps to go when he couldn’t get up to speed during a restart while he was in 5th which dropped him back to 17th. In summer 2015 and summer 2014 Logano raced his way to victory lane.
DraftKings Price – $9,300