Michael McDowell – Michael McDowell will be a driver to keep your eye on at Richmond. Among drivers in his tier he has good upside. In two of the last three races here he’s had a respectable result. Last fall he ran well and finished 16th. I will note he wasn’t quite as good as his finish. With 14 laps to go he was in 20th. In spring 2017 he didn’t run well at all. He finished 29th, had a 30th place average running position and earned the 31st best driver rating. In fall 2016 he finished a “fools gold 12th.” I wouldn’t read into that result very much. His average running position was 25th and if there wasn’t a late caution he was poised to finish around 19th, and that was after a fair amount of attrition.
David Ragan – At Richmond, David Ragan hasn’t been bad, given his tier. In 4 of the last 6 races he’s finished between 17th and 23rd. In the last three spring races he’s had results of 19th, 23rd and 23rd. Given his tier I’m sure people would be happy getting that level of fantasy production from him. Last fall he had his worst recent race. In the event he finished 27th and had a 26th place average running position. Last spring he finished 19th and had a 25th place average running position.
Chris Buescher – At Richmond I think Chris Buescher will likely be around a 20th place driver. If he has a really good race he might be high-teens good. Last fall he wasn’t remotely competitive. When the checkered flag waved he finished 32nd and had a 32nd place average running position. His car was just that bad. It’s shocking he was so uncompetitive since he was better earlier in the year. Last spring he finished 17th, had a 20th place average running position and earned the 20th best driver rating. In fall 2016 his team played the race ultra safe because of Chase implications and when the checkered flag waved he finished 24th and had a 24th place average running position.
Ty Dillon – Ty Dillon has had some respectable results at shorter flat tracks. Last year over the six combined races at shorter flat tracks he had an 18.3 average finish. At Richmond, Dillon has two starts under his belt and neither was that great. Last fall he finished 22nd, had a 25th place average running position and earned the 25th best driver rating. Last spring Dillon ran really well at times but finished 26th when the checkered flag waved. At the end he just wasn’t at this best. From the race it should be noted his average running position was 16th and he earned the 17th best driver rating. At the end of Stage #2 he finished 9th which was impressive. On Sunday I’m going to view him as a low to mid-twenties driver.
Matt DiBenedetto – Nothing good is going to come from picking Matt DiBenedettto. His average finish over his six Richmond starts is 33.2. If you pick him I think he’ll likely prove to be a high-twenties driver. Last fall he finished 31st and had a 30th place average running position. Last spring he finished slightly better in 28th.