1) Brad Keselowski (Starting – 10th)
Talladega Fantasy Spin – Nobody is better than Brad Keselowski at Talladega. He’s a five-time winner who’s finished in the top five 39% percent of the time and in the top ten 61% percent of the time. When it comes to the art of plate racing he’s arguably the best in the business. He drives extremely smart and once he gets to the front he’s hard to get around. He’s also a clutch performer and if he’s in position to win at the end I wouldn’t bet against him. Last fall he came up big right at the end and made a last lap pass for the win. On Sunday look for Keselowski to finish in the top five and compete for the win if he has an incident free race.
Talladega Track History – Brad Keselowski has performed at an elite level at Talladega. Over the last five races minus fall 2016 where he led 90 laps until his engine blew up he has two wins and a 3.3 average finish. Last fall he had a clutch performance and made a last lap pass for the win. In addition to winning he won Stage #1 and finished 2nd in Stage #2. Last spring Keselowski had a strong showing. He finished 7th, earned the 2nd best driver rating, won Stage #1 and led 31 laps. In fall 2016 he had a great chance to win but he walked away with a DNF after his engine blew up. In that race he led 90 of the 144 laps he completed. In spring 2016 he had a great car and raced his way to victory lane. In addition to finishing first he earned the best driver rating, led the most laps (46) and had a 5th place average running position. In fall 2015 he had a strong performance. He earned the 3rd best driver rating and finished 4th.
DraftKings Price – $10,700 / Fan Duel Price – $12,300
2) Joey Logano (Starting – 9th)
Talladega Fantasy Spin – Joey Logano is a two-time winner at Talladega who’ll be tough to beat. He’s extremely strong on this track type and he has a knack for finishing up front. In recent Talladega races he’s been very competitive. Over the last five races he has 2 wins, the 2nd best driver rating, the best average running position (9.4) and a misleading 12.6 average finish. In the season opening Daytona 500 he had a very strong performance. He earned the 2nd best driver rating and finished 4th. One attribute I like about Logano is how well he’s run on a weekly basis this year. In 8 of the 9 races he’s finished in the top ten. On Sunday I would look for Logano to compete for a top five and be a serious threat to win.
Talladega Track History – In recent Talladega races Logano ranks as one of the best. In 3 of the last 5 races he’s finished in the top 4. In the two races he finished outside of that range he had top five potential but wrecked. Last fall Logano had a very strong showing. He earned the best driver rating, finished 4th and led a race high 59 laps. Last spring, he ran well but finished a misleading 32nd after getting collected in the late “Big One.” Two laps prior to the “Big One” with 22 laps to go he was running in 5th. In fall 2016 Logano led the final 45 laps and raced his way to victory lane. In spring 2016 Logano had a great car but was collected in a wreck. If his race would’ve been incident free he was a lock for a very good finish. In fall 2015 he was extremely fast and raced his way to victory lane. In addition to winning he earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 6th place average running position and led 20 laps.
DraftKings Price – $10,300 / Fan Duel Price – $12,100
3) Kyle Busch (Starting – 19th)
Talladega Fantasy Spin – At Talladega, Kyle Busch will be going for his 4th straight win. That’s a tough task, but since it doesn’t look like he can do anything wrong right now I wouldn’t bet against him. Kyle Busch has been a strong performer at Talladega. He’s a previous winner and over the last eleven races he has 5 top fives and 7 top twelve finishes. In the last two spring races he’s arguably been the strongest competitor. On Sunday I would look for Busch to compete for a top five if he has an incident free race.
Talladega Track History – In incident free races at Talladega, Kyle Busch has been very competitive. Last fall he wrecked and finished 27th after getting collected in the “Big One” with 17 laps to go. Earlier in the race he was also involved in a minor wreck. Last spring, I thought he had the best car and if there wasn’t a late caution he likely would’ve won. On the final lap while leading he was passed. When the checkered flag waved he earned the best driver rating, finished 3rd and led a race high 48 laps. In fall 2016 he raced with zero effort because of Playoffs implications and he finished 30th. In spring 2016 he had a great car. He finished runner-up, earned the 2nd best driver rating and led 12 laps. In 3 of the 4 races prior to that he finished in the top 12.
DraftKings Price – $9,600 / Fan Duel Price – $11,700