Pocono Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Matt Kenseth – Matt Kenseth has been a strong performer at Pocono, but you need to remember he’s in the #6 and not the #20 anymore. The level of performance from those two cars is vastly different. For fantasy purposes I would only consider his race this spring as relevant. This spring at Pocono when the checkered flag waved Kenseth finished 13th. I will note I don’t think he was as good as his result. His average running position was 26th and he earned the 22nd best driver rating. Late mayhem really helped him advance in the running order. With 26 laps to he was back in 21st. On Sunday I would look for Kenseth to be a mid-teens to high-teens driver.

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Kasey Kahne – Pocono has been a good track for Kasey Kahne. He’s a two-time winner who’s finished in the top fifteen 52% percent of the time. In the #95 I would look for him to likely be a high-teens to low-twenties driver. Earlier this year at Pocono, Kahne had a tough race and finished 36th after having a transmission problems. Five laps prior to his early exit on lap 120 he was running in 22nd. If he didn’t have problems I would assume he was likely poised to finish in the low-twenties. Prior to that race, in the #5 car he’s been pretty good here recently. Last summer he ran well. He finished 11th and had a 15th place average running position. In spring 2017 he showed potential (finished 12th in Stage #1, 9th in Stage #2) but with 19 laps to go while he was running in 19th he nailed the wall hard which led to his 35th place finish. Realistically he was probably around mid-teens good. In summer 2016 he ran well. He earned the 9th best driver rating, had an 11th place average running position and finished 15th. In spring 2016 he had a great performance and finished 6th.

Chris Buescher – Chris Buescher won at Pocono in summer 2016, but as a reminder since time has passed you need to get out the asterisk marks for that. In that race he wasn’t even 20th place good and a large part of his victory can be attributed to him getting a pit penalty which put him out of sync with the field which timed perfectly with the rain/fog that rolled in after he got the lead. On Sunday I would look for him to likely be a high-teens to low-twenties driver. Earlier this year at Pocono he had one of his better results and finished 17th. I will note his 26th place average running position is a good indicator towards his level of competitiveness. With 15 laps to before the late cautions started to come out he was in 25th. Last summer he didn’t run well at all. He finished 28th and had a 26th place average running position. In spring 2017 he didn’t have a great race. He finished 19th and had a 23rd place average running position.

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