Kevin Harvick – Kevin Harvick will be the favorite to win at Las Vegas. He put on a display of domination this spring, and since then he’s continued to perform at a super-elite level at high-speed intermediate tracks. Earlier this year at Las Vegas, Harvick was clearly the class of the field. He earned a perfect driver rating, finished 1st, led 214 laps and won both Stage #1 and Stage #2. In 2017 he had a really good car but finished 38th. In the race he started in 19th but had no trouble advancing thru the field. Everything was going well for him until lap 68 when he had a flat tire and shot into the wall while running in 6th. If his race would’ve been incident free I think he might’ve been a factor to win. In 2016, he earned the 4th best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position and finished 7th. In 2015 Harvick started in 18th and raced his way to victory lane. When the checkered flag waved Harvick finished 1st, earned the best driver rating, had a 4th place average running position and led a race high 142 laps. This year at 1.5 mile tracks the #4 car has been fast. For the season at tracks of this length minus Charlotte he has 3 wins, a 2.2 average finish and a 3.8 average running position. On Sunday look for Harvick to be in the mix for the win.
Kyle Busch – Kyle Busch will be tough to beat at Las Vegas. He’s run extremely well here and this year at 1.5 mile tracks he’s been one of the strongest performers. In 2018 at tracks of this length he’s won 3 races, has the best average finish (3.7), the best average running position (5.1) and is the only driver who’s finished in the top ten every race. At Las Vegas in recent races, Busch has performed at an elite level. Since 2013 minus 2017 when he spun at the end he has a 5.3 average finish and a 6.5 average running position. This spring, Busch had a great car. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 2nd, earned the 5th best driver rating and had a 7th place average running position. Additionally, he finished 9th in Stage #1 and 5th in Stage #2. In 2017 he had a very competitive car but finished 22nd after getting spun from 4th on the final lap. Him running that well was extremely impressive when you take into account around lap 125 while running in 5th place he was caught speeding on pit road which dropped him a lap down. In 2016 Kyle Busch had a great car and challenged for the win. When the race reached its conclusion he finished 4th, earned the 6th best driver rating, had a 6th place average running position and led 38 laps. It should be noted while he was leading with 13 laps to go he started to complain about having a vibration. On Sunday I would look for Busch to finish in the top five and be a serious threat to win.
Brad Keselowski – Las Vegas has been a great track for Brad Keselowski. He’s a two-time winner who currently has a series best 6 straight top tens. Over this six race stretch he’s finished in the top 7 every race, has the best driver rating, a 3.8 average finish and a 5.7 average running position. Earlier this year, Keselowski ran well. He finished 6th, had a 6th place average running position and earned the 7th best driver rating. Additionally, he finished 6th in both Stage #1 and Stage #2. In 2017, he had a great car and should’ve won. In that race he developed electrical issues and was passed while leading with 2 laps to go. When the checkered flag waved he finished 5th, had a 2nd place average running position, earned the 2nd best driver rating and led 89 laps. Additionally, he finished 3rd in Stage #1 and 2nd in Stage #2. In 2016 Keselowski had a great car and raced his way to victory lane. He earned the 3rd best driver rating, had a 6th place average running position and led 24 laps. His strength in the race was being good over long runs. In 2015 he had a good race. He earned the 6th best driver rating, finished 7th, had a 10th place average running position and led 9 laps. In 2014 Keselowski got his first Las Vegas win by passing Dale Earnhardt Jr. after he stumbled on fuel in the closing laps. This year at 1.5 mile tracks Keselowski has been one of the stronger performers. For the season at these venues minus Texas he has a 6.3 average finish and an 8.8 average running position.