Dover Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Austin Dillon – Dover hasn’t been a place of great success for Austin Dillon. His average finish is 22.2 and in only 2 of his 10 starts has he finished in the top 15. In just 40% of his starts he’s cracked the top 20. This spring he wasn’t competitive. He finished 26th and had a 27th place average running position. At no point did he show potential. In the three Dover races prior to that he was solid. Last fall he finished 16th and had a 19th place average running position. In spring 2017 he had a respectable showing. He finished 12th and had a 14th place average running position. I will note I think attrition helped him out quite a bit. I think he was probably really high-teens good. In fall 2016 Austin Dillon had a strong showing and ran well throughout the event. When the checkered flag waved he finished 8th, earned the 9th best driver rating and had a 10th place average running position. Him finishing that well was a surprise because in his six previous Monster Mile races he finished 20th or worse. On Sunday I’m going to play it safe and view him as a mid to high-teens driver.

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Matt Kenseth – At Dover, Matt Kenseth will once again be piloting the #6. Dover has been a great track for him, but in the #6, I don’t know. Realistically I’m going to keep the bar low and view him as a mid to high-teens driver. Earlier this year at “The Monster Mile” he was sidelined because he didn’t have a ride. Last year in the #20 he had results of 11th and 13th. In 2016 he had results of 5th and 1st.

Chris Buescher – Chris Buescher has been a consistent driver at Dover. His average finish is 22.8 and in 4 of his 5 races he’s finished between 18th to 23rd. On Sunday I think there’s a good chance he’ll once again finish around that range. This spring he was about a 20th place driver. He finished 20th, had a 20th place average running position and earned the 22nd best driver rating. Last fall he had his worst result and finished an uncompetitive 30th. The race was full of green flag runs and his average running position was 31st. In spring 2017, he was a low-twenties driver. He finished 23rd, earned the 24th best driver rating and had a 21st place average running position. In fall 2016 he also finished 23rd. In spring 2016 he walked away with his best result which was an 18th, but that can largely be attributed to attrition.

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