Matt Kenseth – Homestead will likely be Matt Kenseth’s final race. He’s had a great career and it would be good to see the 2003 champion go out on a high-note. He finished in the top ten in his first career start (1998 Dover, 6th), to conclude his career I think he’ll likely be a high-teens to low-twenties driver. The #6 car just isn’t a competitive situation. In his two incident free races at tracks of this length in 2018 he has results of 17th (Charlotte) and 19th (Kentucky). Since August I’ll note finishing in the 20’s has become a norm for him. At Homestead, Kenseth has performed at a high-level. He has five straight top tens and in the last four races he’s finished between 6th to 8th. Last year he finished 8th, in 2016 he finished 7th. Because of his current competitive situation I don’t view his track record as all that relevant.
William Byron – William Byron really needs to end his season on a high-note. It was a very disappointing rookie season that lacked high-lights. On Sunday I see him likely being a high-teens to low-twenties driver. In 2018 at 1.5 mile tracks minus Texas a result around 20th has been a good day for him. As a rookie, Byron obviously has no starts under his belt at Homestead. Last year in the Xfinity Series he finished 3rd which won him the lower series championship.
Chris Buescher – At Homestead, I’m going to view Chris Buescher as a high-teens to low-twenties driver. If things go really well he might sneak in a mid-teens finish. This year at 1.5 mile tracks minus Kansas #1 he has a 20.3 average finish, a 21.6 average running position and has finished between 15th to 25th every race. At Homestead, Buescher has two starts under his belt and has finished in the 20’s both races. Last year he finished 20th and had a 24th place average running position. In 2016 he had a very forgettable debut. He finished 24th and had a 25th place average running position.