Bubba Wallace – As you’ve observed over the course of the season, its likely nothing good will come from picking Bubba Wallace at Homestead. If you pick him you should be prepared for him to finish around the mid-twenties. In his last four incident free races at 1.5 mile tracks he’s finished between 23rd and 27th. In 2016 when he made his most recent start at Homestead in the Xfinity Series he finished 11th. In 2015 he finished 10th.
Regan Smith – At Homestead, I’m keeping expectations really low for Regan Smith. The #95 teams performances have dropped off and I think they’re ready for the off-season. In the last two races held at 1.5 mile tracks he’s come home with results of 28th (Kansas) and 27th (Texas). On Sunday I would look for Smith to likely be a high-twenties driver. If things go well he might be mid-twenties good.
Matt DiBenedetto – Homestead hasn’t been a good track for Matt DiBenedetto. Over the last two races his average finish is 28.5. Last year he wasn’t competitive. He started 31st, finished 30th, and had a 30th place average running position. In 2016 he wasn’t much better but he did finish 27th. In DiBendetto’s two most recent incident free races at 1.5 mile tracks he’s come home with results of 23rd (Kansas) and 24th (Las Vegas). On Sunday I would look for him to likely finish somewhere around the mid-twenties.
Landon Cassill – Landon Cassill will likely be a high-twenties to low-thirties driver at Homestead. 1.5 mile tracks haven’t been an area of strength for him. In 5 of the last 6 races at tracks of this length he’s finished 28th or worse. That should make it pretty clear that his fantasy value is extremely low. In his last two Homestead races in more competitive equipment he’s had results of 23rd and 21st.