Points Finish 27th, 0 Wins, 0 Top Fives, 1 Top Ten, 7 Top Twenties, 24.1 Average Finish, 25.2 Average Running Position, 3 Laps Led
The higher the attrition rate, the better for Ty Dillon. Quite often you’ll find that his best results come at venues where a lot of accidents take place.
In terms of track type you’ll find that Dillon’s at his best at plate tracks. In particular, Talladega has proven to be a friendly venue for him. Its the only track where he’s finished in the top twenty every race and its home to his best average finish (13.5).
Ty Dillon and the #13 team lack speed. It’s hard to be competitive when that’s the case. Last year he ran a paltry 8.1% percent of the laps inside the top fifteen. The only notable drivers worse in that statistic were David Ragan, Michael McDowell and Matt DiBenedetto.
Intermediate tracks which comprise nearly half the schedule were a core weakness in 2018. Only once in the seventeen races held on that track type last season did he finish in the top 20, and that was an attrition race.
Intermediate Track Fantasy Value – C
Ty Dillon shouldn’t be on your fantasy NASCAR radar at intermediate tracks. In 2018 on this track type among full-time teams that race with an honest effort to be competitive he was arguably the worst. His average finish was 26.0 and his average running position was 26.2. Over the 17 races held on this track type he only had one result in the top 20 and that was in the spring race at Texas which had a Talladega like attrition rate.
At these venues in incident free races he’s typically a low to mid-twenties driver. There is no particular intermediate track where he should be targeted, unless you’re in a DFS situation and he qualifies near the very back.
In 2019, I think he’ll likely be a little more competitive on this track type and will sneak in a few results in the teens.
Flat Track Fantasy Value – C+
At flat tracks I would look for Ty Dillon to be a low-twenties driver most weekends. Last year in 6 of the 8 races on this track type he finished between 19th and 24th. In 2019, I think its likely he’ll have a similar level of performance.
In 2018 at the bigger flat tracks all of his results were between 21st and 24th. At Pocono over the course of his career he has a 20.2 average finish and over all six of his races he’s finished between 17th to 24th. At Indy, his average finish is 20.0. He finished 21st last year and 19th in 2017.
At the smaller flat tracks he’s a low-twenties driver. His average finish at those venues is 19.7 (Phoenix/ISM), 20.3 (New Hampshire) and 24.0 (Richmond).
Short Track Fantasy Value – C+
At short tracks, I think Ty Dillon is likely a low-twenties driver on most weekends. In 2018 on this track type he had a 22.3 average finish. In 4 of the 6 races on this track type he finished between 15th to 22nd. In 2017 on this track type his average finish was 25.2.
His best short track on paper is Martinsville. He finished 15th last fall and 22nd last spring. His overall average finish is 22.3.
At Richmond he’s 4 for 4 in terms of finishing in the twenties. He finished 28th last summer and 20th in the spring. His overall average finish is 24.0.
At Bristol, his average finish is 25.0. Last year he had results of 21st and 28th.
Plate Track Fantasy Value – B-
Restrictor plate racing has been a strength for Ty Dillon. In last years Daytona 500 he crashed, in the three plate races following that he finished in the top 15 and had a 12th place average finish. In 2017 on this track type his average finish was 17.6.
In last season’s Daytona 500 he crashed and finished 39th. In the summer he bounced back and finished 6th. His overall Daytona average finish is 24th.
Talladega has been a bright spot on the schedule for him. His average finish is 13.5 and over all four of his starts he’s finished in the top 15. Last year he had a pair of 15th’s, in 2017 he had results of 11th and 13th.
Road Course Fantasy Value – C
I don’t think anything good will come from picking Ty Dillon at road courses. If you pick him on this track type you should be prepared to be happy with him finishing in the low to mid-twenties. His combined average finish over his five starts on this track type is 25th.
Last year at Charlotte when the road course made its debut he finished 22nd.
At Watkins Glen he finished 23rd last year, and 19th in 2017.
Sonoma has been his worst road course and he has yet to finish on the lead lap. Last year he finished 33rd, in 2017 he finished 28th.