Talladega Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Martin Truex Jr. – Talladega has been pretty brutal to Martin Truex Jr. If you’re in an allocation league this should be one of the last tracks you target him. In the last five races at this “Wild card” track he’s finished 23rd or worse. Last fall he didn’t have a good race and finished 23rd. Also from the race I’ll note he had a 26th place average running position and earned the 26th best driver rating. In the four races prior to that his race ended early, either due to an accident or an engine failure. Last spring, on lap 72 Martin Truex Jr. was involved in a wreck. It didn’t mark the end of his race, but it led to him finishing 4 laps down in 26th. I certainly don’t think he had a bad car. He finished 3rd in Stage #1 and shortly before his problem he was running around 10th. In fall 2017, he finished 23rd after being involved in the “Big One” with 17 laps to go. One lap prior to that he was running in 15th. He ran very well at times and was a top ten contender. Additionally, he earned the 6th best driver rating and had a 13th place average running position. In spring 2017 he had a good chance to finish well, but his race wasn’t incident free and he was collected in the late “Big One.” From the race it should be noted he finished 4th in Stage #2. In fall 2016 he had a very fast car that easily looked top ten good, but he finished dead last because of an early engine failure. In the three Talladega races prior to that he had an 8.3 average finish.

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David Ragan – Talladega is David Ragan’s best track and he should definitely be on your fantasy NASCAR radar this weekend. He’s a former winner who’s finished in the top ten 42% percent of the time. In 3 of the last 4 races at this wild card track he’s finished in the top ten. Last fall he had a tough race and finished 39th. On lap 2 he slowed on the track because of an oil pressure issue and this problem eventually sent him to the garage dooming him to his poor result. Last spring he had a strong showing. He finished 6th, earned the 11th best driver rating and finished 6th in Stage #2. In fall 2017, Ragan escaped with a 10th place finish. He was involved in the “Big One” with 17 laps to go, but he was able to keep going and since it took out so many cars it actually helped him. In spring 2017, Ragan was involved in accident but rebounded to finish 10th.

Matt DiBenedetto – Matt DiBenedetto isn’t a bad option among drivers of his tier. In the season opening Daytona 500 he had a career day. He led the most laps (49), finished 6th in Stage #2 but was unfortunately caught up in a late accident that led to his 28th place finish. At Talladega, DiBenedetto’s level of success has been really low. He has a 27.4 average finish and a best result of 18th over his 8 races. At Talladega over the last two years he finished in the low-thirties in the fall and in the high-teens in the spring. Last year he finished 30th in the fall and 19th in the spring. In 2017 he finished 31st in the fall and 18th in the spring.

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