Kansas Fantasy NASCAR Front Runner Rankings

Erik Jones – Erik Jones is primed to have a good performance at Kansas. He’s run well at 1.5 mile tracks this year and he swept the top ten last year at Kansas. This year at 1.5 mile tracks over the combined three races he has an 8.0 average finish and a 13.7 average running position. Texas is the most recent 1.5 mile track visited and at that venue he finished 4th and led 30 laps. Last year at Kansas, Jones had a good season and was one of 6 drivers who swept the top ten. Last fall at Kansas he had a strong performance. He finished 4th and had a 10th place average running position. Additionally, he finished 8th in Stage #1 and 7th in Stage #2. Last spring at Kansas he was strong. He finished 7th, had a 10th place average running position and earned the 11th best driver rating. In fall 2017 he was a top five contender but finished a misleading 35th after being involved in a huge multi-car wreck on lap 198. At the time of his problem he was running right around 5th. Additionally it should be noted he finished 10th in Stage #1 and 6th in Stage #2. In spring 2017, Jones had a fast car and was top ten good but finished a misleading 22nd. He spun three-times and nobody can overcome that.

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Daniel Suarez – Daniel Suarez is a quality dark horse option at Kansas. His track record is pretty poor, but I like how he’s performed at 1.5 mile tracks this year. In 2019 at tracks of this length he has a 10.3 average finish and an 11.3 average running position. Texas is the most recent 1.5 mile track visited and he finished 3rd there. At Kansas, Suarez has had a rough time and in the last three races he’s finished 24th or worse. Last fall at Kansas he had a tough race and finished 24th. He started in 8th, but on lap 3 he got into the wall and this dropped him a few laps down which doomed his competitive afternoon right near the start. Last spring his race was far from incident free and he finished 28th. His first problem happened on lap 95 when he was running in 20th and made an unexpected pit stop for a loose wheel. That dropped him off the lead lap to 28th. Later, with 31 laps to go while he was two laps down in the mid-twenties he had contact with Alex Bowman and damaged his car. Prior to his problem starting he looked like a mid to high-teens driver. In 2017 at Kansas he looked pretty good in both races. In fall 2017 I thought he was likely about low-double digits good but he finished a misleading 36th after getting collected in a massive wreck on lap 198. In spring 2017 in his Kansas debut Suarez had a good race. He finished 7th, had an 11th place average running position and earned the 13th best driver rating.

Jimmie Johnson – Jimmie Johnson will be a driver to watch at Kansas. His team is starting to run better and his recent performance at Texas, the most recent 1.5 mile track visited was encouraging. At Texas a few weeks ago he won the pole, finished 5th and led 60 laps. If it wasn’t for Texas I would absolutely avoid him on Saturday night because his other performances this year on this track type have been quite bad. At Kansas, Johnson has historically been a good performer, but his recent results are quite bad. In 3 of the last 4 races he’s finished 19th or worse. Last fall, Johnson finished 22nd but I’ll note that’s a misleading result. In the race he started 22nd, finished 9th in Stage #1, 8th in Stage #2 but with 21 laps to go while he was running in the top ten he got into the wall hard and then immediately came to pit road. Last spring at Kansas he didn’t have a good race and finished 19th. On lap 62 while he was running around 20th he made an unexpected pit stop for a loose wheel and that dropped him a lap down to 29th. He never recovered from that and went on to finish two laps down in 19th. In fall 2017 at Kansas, Johnson spun twice but rallied to finish 11th. Additionally, he finished 6th in Stage #1, 10th in Stage #2, had a 10th place average running position and earned the 9th best driver rating. In spring 2017 he had a great car and was top five good but finished a misleading 24th after spinning from the top 5 late. In 3 of the 4 Kansas races prior to that he finished in the top 4. On Saturday night I would look for Johnson to compete for a top ten.

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