Pocono Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions
Paul Menard – At Pocono, I would look for Paul Menard to be a mid to high-teens driver. He’s had an uptick in performance this year and I think that finish range safely outlines what you should expect. Pocono hasn’t been a place of great success for Menard. His average finish is 23rd and in 3 of the last 4 races he’s finished between 19th to 21st. Last summer, Menard didn’t have a good race and finished 21st. Additionally, he had a 23rd place average running position and was in 23rd with 8 laps to go before two late cautions bumped him up because of attrition. Last spring he had one of his best races here and crossed the finish line in 11th. That tied his best Pocono result since August 2012. Overall it was a solid race for him and his driver rating ranked as the 15th best. In 2017 in the #27 he wasn’t as competitive. That year he finished 19th in the summer and 20th in the spring.
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Chris Buescher – Chris Buescher is a former winner at Pocono, you can’t say that about him anywhere else. As a reminder since time has passed you need to get out the asterisk marks for that. In that race he wasn’t even 20th place good and a large part of his victory can be attributed to him getting a pit penalty which put him out of sync with the field which timed perfectly with the rain/fog that rolled. On Sunday, I would look for him to likely be a high-teens to low-twenties driver. Last summer, Buescher had transmission problems and finished 37th. On lap 46 he was in 20th, less than 20 laps later he was in the garage. Last spring he had one of his better results and finished 17th. I will note his 26th place average running position is a good indicator towards his level of competitiveness. With 15 laps to before the late cautions started to come out he was in 25th. In 2017, Buescher had results of 28th and 19th.
Ty Dillon – Ty Dillon will likely be a high-teens to low-twenties driver at Pocono. At the “Tricky Triangle” he has a 20.2 average finish and has had a result between 17th to 24th every race. Last summer he finished 24th and had a 28th place average running position. Last spring he had a similar performance. He finished 23rd and had a 27th place average running position. In summer 2017 he had his best Pocono race and finished 17th. Additionally, he had a 22nd place average running position and earned the 23rd best driver rating. In spring 2017 there was nothing special about his race. He finished 18th and had a 20th place average running position. In his first two Pocono races which were in spring 2016 and spring 2015 he had results of 18th and 21st.
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