Sonoma Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions
Michael McDowell – Michael McDowell has dark horse potential at road courses, but prepare to get burned. I would say he’s mostly hype. Last year in the three combined races on this track type he had a 19th place average finish. At the other two venues beside Sonoma he finished 18th both races. In 2017 on this track type he had a 13th place average finish. At Sonoma, McDowell hasn’t run well and in 6 of his 7 races he’s finished 21st or worse. Last year he finished 21st and had a 20th place average running position. In 2017 he had his best Sonoma performance. When the checkered flag waved he finished 13th, earned the 14th best driver rating and had a 15th place average running position. In the Sonoma races prior to that he was really bad.
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Matt DiBenedetto – At Sonoma, look for Matt DiBendetto to be about a 20th place performer. At this west coast serpentine track, DiBenedetto hasn’t been as bad as you’re likely thinking. Last year he finished 17th, earned the 22nd best driver rating and had a 23rd place average running position. In 2017 he finished 23rd and had a 24th place average running position. At the other two road courses on the schedule last year he had results of 13th (Charlotte Roval) and 33rd (Watkins Glen, had some sort of problem).
Ryan Preece – Hopefully Ryan Preece has some old AJ Allmendinger setup notes laying around the shop. Allmendinger always had great cars here, but a ton of equipment failures. Last year his current teammate Chris Buescher had a solid race here and finished 12th. Last year in the lower series, Preece was in two road course races. He finished 4th at Watkins Glen and 4th at the Charlotte Roval. On Sunday I would look for him to maybe be a high-teens to low-twenties driver.
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