Bubba Wallace – As you’ve observed over the course of the season, its likely nothing good will come from picking Bubba Wallace at Homestead. If you pick him you should be prepared for him to finish around the mid-twenties. In his last four incident free races at 1.5 mile tracks he’s finished between 23rd and […]
Bubba Wallace – Bubba Wallace didn’t have a smooth track debut this spring at Phoenix. He started 27th, finished 28th, had a 28th place average running position and earned the 28th best driver rating. I’ll note his race wasn’t incident free. Somewhere in the lap 130’s he made an unexpected pit stop for a tire […]
Ty Dillon – At Texas I’m not setting the benchmark high for Ty Dillon. I think he’s realistically about a 20th to 25th place performer. For the season at tracks of this length minus Kansas #1 and Las Vegas #2 he has a 23.7 average finish and a 24.7 average running position. This spring at […]
Michael McDowell – Michael McDowell has been a respectable driver, in his tier at Martinsville in recent races. Over the last five races he’s finished between 18th to 26th. Over that stretch his average finish is 21.6 and his average running position is 24.2. This spring he was a low-twenties driver. He finished 21st, had […]
Bubba Wallace – Unless something really goofy happens at Kansas I see no upside in Bubba Wallace. I would consider a result around the low to mid-twenties to be a good afternoon for him. This spring at Kansas when he made his track debut he finished in the range I’m projecting him. When the checkered […]
Matt DiBenedetto – Matt DiBenedetto has some dark horse fantasy value at Talladega. At Daytona, the other restrictor plate track on the schedule he’s finished in the top 13 in 3 of the last 4 races. In July at that venue he had his best result on this track type and finished 7th. At Talladega, […]
Ty Dillon – At Dover, I think Ty Dillon will likely be a low to mid-twenties driver. That’s essentially his 2018 weekly level of performance. At Dover, Dillon has a 23.0 average finish and in the last two races he’s finished in the low to mid-twenties. This spring he didn’t have a competitive performance. He […]
David Ragan – David Ragan will never be known for his road course racing prowess. On Sunday I’m keeping the bar low and unless the attrition rate is sky high I think he’s likely a mid-twenties driver. Since 2015 on this track type he hasn’t finished better than 22nd and in 4 of those 8 […]
Regan Smith – At Richmond, I would look for Regan Smith to likely be about a low-twenties to mid-twenties driver. It’s essentially how he stacks up against the competition in the #95 car. At Richmond in 4 of his last 7 races he’s finished between 17th to 25th. Bubba Wallace – At Richmond I’m not […]
David Ragan – At Las Vegas I’ll project David Ragan to likely be a low-twenties driver. If things go really well he might be able to sneak in a high-teens finish. This year at 1.5 mile tracks minus Chicagoland he has a 20.8 average finish and a 23.0 average running position. Earlier this year at […]
Regan Smith – At Indy, Regan Smith will be driving the #95 in place of Kasey Kahne. On Sunday I think he’ll have a likely similar finish range and be a high-teens to low-twenties driver. I’ll note I would lean more towards a result in the low-twenties. At Indy, Smith has a 25.0 average finish […]
David Ragan – At Darlington I’m viewing David Ragan as a low-twenties driver. For the most part I think that’s how he typically stacks up against the competition on a weekly basis in 2018. Last year at Darlington he didn’t have an incident free race but still managed to finish 25th. Around lap 225 he […]
David Ragan – David Ragan has upside at Bristol. He’ll need the help of attrition but frequently that comes into play. Over the last four Bristol races he has an 18.3 average finish and a 23.3 average running position. This spring, he tied his best Bristol result since 2009 and finished 12th. Last August he […]
David Ragan – Michigan hasn’t been a friendly track to David Ragan. Over the last four races at this 2.0 mile oval he’s finished 29th or worse. Earlier this year he had a tough race and finished 38th after crashing on lap 35 while he was battling for 26th. In the race he started 27th […]
Ty Dillon – Ty Dillon isn’t a very good road course racer. On this track type over his three combined starts he has a 26.0 average finish and a 25.5 average running position. At Watkins Glen, Dillon has one start under his belt and it ranks as his best overall road course race. Last year […]