Contender or Pretender: New Hampshire
[tweetmeme source= “ifantasyrace”]
Jimmie Johnson (Contender) – After Infineon do you really think NASCAR can Jimmie proof the Chase? At New Hampshire this week it will be hard to keep Jimmie Johnson down. Only once in Jimmie Johnson’s career has he finished outside the top fifteen and that wasn’t because of a competitive issue. Johnson’s average New Hampshire finish since 2007 is 5.83. Earlier this year at Phoenix which is similar to New Hampshire Jimmie Johnson led a race high 113 laps (tied with Kyle Busch for the most) and finished 3rd.
Joey Logano (Pretender) – Joey Logano won last year at New Hampshire in the rain. Does a rain shortened win mean anything in fantasy racing? Of course it doesn’t, at least not under the circumstances in how Joey Logano won. I think it would be hard for Joey Logano to be any less competitive than he was last year. Joey Logano was a 20th place driver at best last year in this race. He started 24th, he was in 24th at the midpoint of the race and his average running position was 21.4. Joey Logano was only in the top fifteen 13.9 percent of the race.
Kurt Busch (Contender) – Kurt Busch is always a contender every time the series visits New Hampshire. His average finish over the last four races at New Hampshire is 4th. In eighteen starts at the Magic Mile Kurt Busch has three wins and nine top tens. Last year Kurt Busch outscored all drivers in terms of cumulative points scored at New Hampshire.
Mark Martin (Pretender) – Mark Martin was second to Kurt Busch in cumulative points in 2009 at New Hampshire but what numbers of his from last year would you say are truly representative of him in 2010? I would say that for the most part he’s been marginally less competitive basically across the board. The last race Martin led a lap at was Talladega, but who can’t led a lap there?
Kyle Busch (Contender) – Early in his stint at Joe Gibbs Racing Kyle Busch was a flop at New Hampshire. Now he very easily should be considered the favorite this weekend. Earlier this year Kyle Busch won at Richmond and if a late caution didn’t come out at Phoenix Busch would’ve won that race.
Denny Hamlin (Pretender) – A Pretender isn’t a driver who’s going to finish in 43rd place. A Pretender is somebody who I think is overrated heading into the weekend. Even though Denny Hamlin has never finished worse than 15th at New Hampshire in his career I feel that he’s overrated this weekend. Right after his surgery he was nowhere near competitive at Phoenix. A week later he went on to victory at Texas. I can easily give him leeway for Phoenix but at Richmond after his Texas victory he was nowhere near competitive.
Add to: Facebook | Digg | Del.icio.us | Stumbleupon | Reddit | Blinklist | Twitter | Technorati | Yahoo Buzz | Newsvine
