Bristol Irwin Tools 500 Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks
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A= Really, Really Good Pick
Kyle Busch – No driver is even close to matching the dominance Kyle Busch has displayed at Bristol in the COT era. He’s won nearly half the races (three out of seven), and only once has he finished outside the top ten. His Bristol average finish in the COT is 5.71. What makes Kyle Busch really good at Bristol is that he attacks the track. Evidence of this is the 899 laps he’s led in the COT. (Yahoo A Driver)
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Kurt Busch – The elder Busch hasn’t forgotten how to get around the Bristol Bullring. He’s won here five times and led the most laps this spring (278). (Yahoo A Driver)
Denny Hamlin – Denny probably isn’t the first name that comes to mind at Bristol but when he avoids trouble (usually not-self inflicted) he’s as good as anyone. (Yahoo A Driver)
Kevin Harvick – When it comes to tracks where drivers run into trouble I’ll happily take the points leader Mr. Consistent who also happens to be a former Bristol winner. (Yahoo B Driver)
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A- = Really Good Pick
Carl Edwards – Mr. Momentum (average finish of 3.7 over the last three races) has won two out of the last three night races at Bristol. Earlier this year Edwards finished 6th at Bristol. (Yahoo A Driver)
Jeff Gordon – Track position is very important at Bristol and Jeff Gordon has the best average starting position (9.3) and best average running position (9.3) over the last eleven Bristol races. (Yahoo A Driver)
Tony Stewart – Stewart finished second earlier this year at Bristol and they have lots of momentum heading into the race. He’s won at Bristol before and the 14 team is ready to visit victory lane again. (Yahoo A Driver)
B+ = Good Pick
Jimmie Johnson – Check out what I said about Jimmie Johnson in my Contender or Pretender article. (Yahoo A Driver)
Greg Biffle – Over the last eleven races at Bristol Biffle’s scored the third most points (1,525) in the series. Biffle also has the second best driver rating over this time period (101.2). (Yahoo A Driver)
Matt Kenseth – Kenseth has won at Bristol multiple times and earlier this season he finished 5th. He’s finished in the top ten in four out of the last five Bristol races. (Yahoo B Driver)
Ryan Newman – Newman’s career got off to a rocky start at Bristol but since 2006 he’s finished in the top ten in six of nine races. One thing Newman’s done really good since he’s been at SHR is avoiding wrecks on the track. (Yahoo B Driver)
B = Just A Tier Below The Good Picks
Jeff Burton – Burton is a great driver at Bristol but much of his recent success comes in the spring race. He’s also a driver who’s had lots of bad luck this season. His bad luck and Bristol don’t equal a winning combination. (Yahoo B Driver)
Clint Bowyer – I expect drama out of this team at Bristol. In no way do I see things going smoothly for him. Also Clint Bowyer has finished worse in the last five consecutive Bristol races. At least “the worst driver in NASCAR period” won’t take him out three years in a row. (Yahoo B Driver)
Jamie McMurray – In his earlier stint with Ganassi Bristol was a very good track for McMuray. He was almost always a top ten driver when he piloted the 42 car. Earlier this year he finished 8th at Bristol. (Yahoo B Driver)
Dale Earnhardt Jr. – Only Kyle Busch has outscored Junior over the last eleven Bristol races. Even through his struggles the last couple of years he’s still been solid at Bristol. He’s finished in the top ten the last two times the series visited “The worlds fastest half mile” . In the last eleven Bristol races Earnhardt Jr. has the best average finish (8.4) in the series. (Yahoo B Driver)
Marcos Ambrose – Sleeper Alert, Marcos Ambrose is really good at Bristol. Ambrose finished in the top ten both races last year. (Yahoo B Driver)
Juan Pablo Montoya – Montoya is a very good driver at Bristol. Many of his finishes don’t reflect how well he’s performed. He’s found lots of problems on the track this year so it might be best to pass on him this week. (Yahoo A Driver)
B- = You Can Pencil Them In For Around 20th
Mark Martin – Check out what I said about Mark Martin in my Contender or Pretender post. (Yahoo A Driver)
Brad Keselowski – He’s proven he has the calculated aggression needed at Bristol and in his only start he finished an impressive 13th. His average running position in the spring race was 11.3. (Yahoo B Driver)
Kasey Kahne – Kahne’s had some good runs at Bristol but he’s also had some really bad days. His average running position at Bristol in the last five races is 21.8. (Yahoo B Driver)
Martin Treux Jr. – Treux has never finished in the top ten at Bristol and he’s never led a lap. Treux finished 12th earlier this year. His average finish is 23.6. (Yahoo B Driver)
C+ = Proceed With Caution
David Reutimann – In five Bristol races David Reutimann has an average finish of 22.4. He qualifies good (3 top ten starts) but he’s only finished in the top fifteen once. (Yahoo B Driver)
Joey Logano – Joey’s improved his finish each time he’s revisited Bristol. The bad news is that his finishes are 27th, 34th and 38th. (Yahoo B Driver)
AJ Allmendinger – AJ’s never finished in the top fifteen and he’s only started there once. Earlier this year he finished 17th which is one of his two top twenty finishes. (Yahoo C Driver)
C =I’m Not Picking Them
David Ragan – Is Roush back? Even if they are I still foresee Ragan struggling at Bristol. All of his loop data numbers (avg running position 24.1, avg finish 24th, avg start 27.1) are in the mid twenties. (Yahoo B Driver)
Elliott Sadler – Elliott Sadler won his first race at Bristol but his best finish at this track since 2006 is 19th. (Yahoo B Driver)
Sam Hornish Jr. – If any driver’s going to find trouble in the Bristol Irwin Tools Night Race I expect it to be Hornish. His best finish in five races is a dreadful 29th. (Yahoo C Driver)
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Bristol Irwin Tools 500 Fantasy NASCAR Picks
My Pick : Kevin Harvick
Top Onpitrow.com Expert Pick : Kyle Busch
Top Onpitrow.com Darkhorse Pick : Dale Earnhardt Jr.
