Kansas Price Chopper 400 Fantasy NASCAR Preview and Picks
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A= Really, Really Good Pick
Jimmie Johnson – What should you expect at Kansas this week? I expect this race to play out like 2008. The finish won’t be as cool but Jimmie Johnson will be in contention again. In the last five years at Kansas Jimmie Johnson has the best average running position (6.3), led the most laps (284), and has the best driver rating (122.6). (Yahoo A Driver)
Carl Edwards – Edwards is still winless this season but his performances on recent intermediate tracks says he won’t be for much longer. In the last three non-concrete intermediate races Edwards has an average finish of 2.3 (Chicago, Michigan and Atlanta). (Yahoo A Driver)
A- = Really Good Pick
Greg Biffle – Biffle should be a legend at Kansas. He’s so good he won and didn’t even cross the finish line first. In the last six Kansas races Greg Biffle has only finished outside the top three once. In the last five years Biffle has averaged 167.4 points per race which is the highest in the series. (Yahoo A Driver)
Jeff Gordon – Gordon finished second to Stewart last year. He won the first two races at Kansas and in recent years he’s been getting close again. In the three most recent Kansas races he’s finished 5th, 4th, and 2nd. (Yahoo A Driver)
Tony Stewart – Stewart is the defending champion of this race and he also recently won at Atlanta. Last year Stewart had an average running position of third and ran the entire race inside the top fifteen. (Yahoo A Driver)
Jeff Burton – Dating back to 2005 Jeff Burton has finished in the top seven every other year. If this trend continues he’ll be good Sunday. Burton has been good all season long on intermediate tracks so I expect this trend to continue. (Yahoo B Driver)
Kevin Harvick – In August Harvick won at Michigan which is similar to Kansas. He was also extremely strong at Atlanta but he pulled off a “Kenseth” (at Dover) that day while he was trying to get on pit road. (Yahoo B Driver)
Kurt Busch – The last time Kurt Busch finished in the top ten at Kansas he won the championship. Last year he finished 11th and had an average running position of 14th. (Yahoo A Driver)
Denny Hamlin – Hamlin’s recent fate on similar tracks almost mirrors Harvick. Last year Hamlin finished 5th, but overall he’s had some road bumps at Kansas. (Yahoo A Driver)
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B+ = Good Pick
Kyle Busch – Kyle Busch has had some good runs at Kansas but this has been a rough track for him. One cause for concern is his performance at Chicagoland where he looked lost. (Yahoo A Driver)
David Reutimann – If you need a sleeper this week here’s your guy. He won at Chicago which is the most similar to Kansas and last year he finished 8th. His average running position was ninth. (Yahoo B Driver)
Juan Pablo Montoya – Montoya was very strong last year at Kansas (4th place finish). In the last three non-concrete intermediate races he finished 16th, 7th, and 9th. (Yahoo A Driver)
Mark Martin – At Dover the 5 team could’ve easily crumbled when they went a lap down, but they battled back to a 12th place finish. Perhaps this team is turning the corner like many top teams do after they miss the Chase. Last year Martin finished 7th. (Yahoo A Driver)
Clint Bowyer – In the last five years at Kansas Clint’s loop data numbers are all just outside the top ten. In 2007 when he crossed the finish line first he finished second. (Yahoo B Driver)
Matt Kenseth – Matt Kenseth is a driver who just scares me. Before the Chase started I thought he would be the pariah of the Chase. Unfortunately it’s looking that way. Every Chase has one. In the last five years Kenseth has averaged 105.6 points per race. (Yahoo B Driver)
Jamie McMurray – The last five years have been difficult for McMurray. He hasn’t finished better than 17th. He’s also led zero laps. This is a really good team and there’s absolutely no reason why he can’t be contend for a top ten this year. (Yahoo B Driver)
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B = Just A Tier Below The Good Picks
Kasey Kahne – Is this team still trying? Is RPM giving Kahne their good stuff? Kahne’s only finished in the top ten once in the last nine races. Kahne was a contender last year at Kansas and ran as high as second with 27 laps to go, but him momentum scares me. Intermediate tracks are his strength so that question might get answered Sunday. (Yahoo B Driver)
AJ Allmendinger – This team has been strong in recent weeks. In the last three races he’s finished 12th or better. In 2008 at Kansas Allmendinger finished 9th. Perhaps below the 43 stickers you’ll find a red 9. (Yahoo C Driver)
B- = You Can Pencil Them In For Around 20th
Martin Treux Jr. – This guy can’t catch a break. His average running position at Kansas is among the best in the series (14.4) but his average finish places him among the worst (27th). (Yahoo B Driver)
Dale Earnhardt Jr. – Earnhardt Jr. was pretty good at Kansas last year. He started second and led 41 laps. Then he got caught speeding on pit road and finished 36th. I don’t see any indicators that this feat can be replicated. (Yahoo B Driver)
C+ = Proceed With Caution
Paul Menard – Menard’s had some of his best finishes this season on intermediate tracks. At Chicago he finished 10th. (Yahoo C Driver)
Ryan Newman – In his first three Kansas races Ryan Newman finished 2nd, 2nd, and 1st. Since then he hasn’t finished better than 16th. His average finish in the last six Kansas races is 26.8. (Yahoo B Driver)
David Ragan – In 2008 Ragan finished 8th at Kansas. In the last three non-concrete intermediate tracks he’s finished 12th, 11th and 19th. There might be a little bit of upside here. (Yahoo B Driver)
Marcos Ambrose – I’m not a big fan of picking Ambrose on intermediate tracks. This team looks lost on occasion on this style of track. His finishes on intermediate tracks are all across the board this year. (Yahoo B Driver)
C = I’m Not Picking Them
Elliott Sadler -Sadler’s always been about a 20th place guy at Kansas. If you really want to pick him then you can feel justified with your decision because he finished 9th at Michigan (similar track). (Yahoo B Driver)
Brad Keselowski – Last year Brad Keselowski finished 13th in his only race at Kansas. In 2010 he has yet to finish in the top ten. (Yahoo B Driver)
Sam Hornish Jr. – If you pick Hornish Jr. this week then you probably haven’t been paying attention this year. The best you should expect is a mid twenties finish, and that relies on him not wrecking. (Yahoo C Driver)
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Kansas Fantasy NASCAR Picks
My Pick : Carl Edwards
Top Onpitrow.com Expert Pick : Jimmie Johnson
Top Onpitrow.com Darkhorse Pick : Jamie McMurray
