Pocono 400: Fantasy NASCAR “Mid Pack” Projections

Joey Logano – Last August Joey Logano won the pole at Pocono and paced the field for 44 laps. He ran in the top 10 for over 90% of the race but with about 20 laps remaining he had a flat tire and was forced to make a green flag pit stop (Yahoo! race chart). His stat line reads like this for last August: finished 26th, 6th place average running position, 104.2 driver rating. I think Joey Logano has sleeper potential in the Pocono 400. Joe Gibbs Racing always has good cars at Pocono and in April Joey Logano tested on the new surface. (Yahoo! B Driver)

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Juan Pablo Montoya – If Juan Pablo Montoya can avoid problems he could challenge for a top ten finish. In the last six Pocono races he’s finished in the top ten in four of them. Last June Montoya led 38 laps and finished 7th. Montoya’s average finish here is 18.7, it’s weighed down from his first four starts when he averaged a 28.5 finish. Montoya’s had some respectable performances this year and I think it might just be worth rolling the dice on him in the Pocono 400. (Yahoo! B Driver)

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Jeff Burton – Last year the “Tricky Triangle” was difficult for Burton (finished 20th and 17th). In his 17th place effort in August he was slightly better than he finished. His average running position was 12th and fell several positions in the closing laps. One interesting loop data fact about Burton is that statistically he’s the strongest closer at Pocono. Closer is defined as improved positions in the last 10 percent of laps in each race. Burton’s closer rating is +4.3, the next best driver is Jeff Gordon (+3.3). In thirty-six races at Pocono Burton has finished in the top ten in nearly half of them (17). (Yahoo! B Driver)