Chicagoland Geico 400: Fantasy NASCAR “Mid Pack” Projections

Jamie McMurray -McMurray has been a consistent performer at 1.5 mile tracks this season. In the six races on this track type he has 1 top ten and has finished in the top fifteen in four of them. At Atlanta he looked like he would finish in the top fifteen again but he had a late flat tire (Yahoo! Race Chart). Last year at Chicago McMurray finished 38th and his day ended early with an engine failure. Before his motor gave way with about 100 laps to go McMurray consistently ran in the top thirteen (Yahoo! Race Chart). In 2010 he finished 5th here. Look for McMurray to finish around 15th. (Yahoo! B Driver)

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Juan Pablo Montoya – Montoya has been consistent at Chicagoland. His average finish is 14.6 and in all five of his races he’s finished between 10th and 18th. What’s important to study about Montoya is how he’s ran at similar venues this year. At 1.5 mile tracks he has a best finish of 12th (Kansas, sister track) and an average finish of 18th. He’s finished in the top twenty four times and hasn’t finished worse than 25th on this style of track. I think his finish will likely fall between 15th and 25th. (Yahoo! B Driver)

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Regan Smith – Smith has raced at Chicagoland three times and in the last two he’s finished 17th and 20th. In the Geico 400 I think he’ll finish between 15th and 20th. Since the #78 crew chief change this team has been better. At high speed intermediate tracks since the transition he has finishes of 14th (Atlanta) and a 29th (Michigan, ran in the teens but was involved in a wreck). Overall at 1.5 mile tracks this season his average finish is 21st. (Yahoo! B Driver)

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