New Hampshire Sylvania 300: Fantasy NASCAR “Mid Pack” Projections
Joey Logano – Logano won here in 2009 but it was one of those finishes that deserve an asterisks mark. He won when it rained and the only reason why he was in that position was because he crashed earlier in the event. He has been a viable option since 2010 though. In the last five New Hampshire races he’s finished in the top fifteen in every race except one he crashed in. When you exclude that race in the last five he’s averaged the 5th most points per race (34). In July Logano had a mid pack performance. He started in 16th and finished 14th. Last year in the Chase Logano also finished 14th. (Yahoo! B Driver)
Marcos Ambrose – Ambrose had been one of the hottest drivers in the series but he has a mountain to climb this week. At New Hampshire he has just one top ten and five finishes of 19th or worse. In July he was very mediocre. He started in 20th and finished 19th (had a 19th place avg running position). One attribute I don’t like about Ambrose is his car make. Fords for whatever reason but aren’t good at New Hampshire. One positive factor now in the equation for him is that Mike Ford is his crew chief. Him and Denny Hamlin were always good here. (Yahoo! B Driver)
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Jeff Burton – From a career perspective New Hampshire is arguably Jeff Burton’s best track. He’s won here four times and in the legendary restrictor plate race he led the entire event. I think you can throw his career statistics right out the window though. He was junk earlier this year. He started in 25th, got lapped and finished 21st. Burton hasn’t been a good Loudon pick for quite some time. His last top ten finish here was in September 2008. If you’re looking for a glimmer of hope he has been running better recently and a few weeks ago at Richmond he finished 6th. (Yahoo! B Driver)
Juan Pablo Montoya – You can just about pencil Montoya in for a 20th place finish or worse. Since Daytona in July he only has one finish better than that mark. That includes his 25th place finish here in July. Montoya has had good races here in the past. He had a third place finish in 2009 and last September he finished 9th. Other than those two races he has no other top tens. I honestly don’t see any sleeper potential out of his this week. I expect his result will be similar to his 20th place average finish. (Yahoo! B Driver)
Regan Smith – Regan Smith has one good finish at New Hampshire and it came in last years Chase race. In that event he finished 10th but it’s important to note that it was a fuel mileage race at the end. His Yahoo! race chart makes it pretty clear just how good he was. If fuel didn’t become a factor he likely would’ve finished between the mid to high teens. When you exclude that race his record gets pretty ugly. In his other races he only has one other top twenty finish and it was a 19th in 2010. (Yahoo! B Driver)
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