Dover AAA 400 Fantasy NASCAR Top Tier Elite Picks

Kyle Busch – Kyle Busch should be on your short list of fantasy NASCAR picks for the Dover AAA 400. He had a very good car at Dover earlier this season. He led the most laps (150), started in 3rd, had a third place average running position, finished 4th and earned the best driver rating. In the race his car was extremely strong especially at the start of the race. Around the last quarter of the race though he didn’t appear as strong. He lost the handle a little bit and it’s fair to assume he probably didn’t drive as hard after seeing many of his Toyota teammates drop out due to a number of reasons. Last fall at Dover Kyle Busch had a dominant car. He led 302 laps, had the best driver rating, had a 1st place average running position but had to pit for fuel at the end and walked away with a disappointing 7th place result. In spring 2012 it looked like he would have a top five result but he had a loose wheel in the race and shortly after that he blew up. From a career perspective Dover has been a good track for Busch. He’s a two-time winner and has finished in the top ten 47% percent of the time. Look for Kyle Busch to be a serious contender in the Dover AAA 400. My prediction is that he’ll win the Dover AAA 400. (Yahoo! B Driver)

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Jimmie Johnson – It’s hard to pick anyone better than Jimmie Johnson to win the Dover AAA 400. He’s good at almost every track but this is a special venue for him. He’s a 7 time winner who’s been extremely consistent. He’s raced here 23 times and has finished in the top five 48% percent of the time and in the top ten 70% percent of the time. Johnson could easily be a nine-time Dover winner but the last two races slipped away from him by different circumstances. Earlier this year at Dover Johnson looked lost for the first quarter of the race and almost got lapped. Once Chad Knaus had time to work on his car it was the class of the field. It could hug the bottom of the track and he promptly drove up to the front. On lap #100 he was in 13th but by lap #206 he was in the lead. In the race he led 143 laps, earned the third best driver rating but finished 17th. What happened to him is that during a late caution he was beat off pit road by Montoya and then he jumped the restart which led to him getting black flagged. Last fall at Dover Johnson had a car that was capable of winning but it turned into a fuel mileage race at the end and he had to go into conservation mode. In spring 2012 Johnson emerged victorious. In the last ten races at Dover Johnson has been spectacular. He’s led 1,905 laps, has a 3.3 average running position, a 5.7 average finish and the best driver rating by nearly +30 markers. Look for Johnson to be a very popular pick by experts in the Dover AAA 400. (Yahoo! A Driver)

Recommended Reading: Front Runner Rankings, Mid Pack Predictions, Yahoo C List Preview, Review Recap, Weekly Poll

Matt Kenseth – Matt Kenseth had a very good car at Dover in June. It was capable of winning but while he was leading around lap #155 his motor went south on him. On lap #157 it blew up. In the duration of the race that he completed he led 29 laps and I would estimate that his average running position was around second. If he didn’t have any problems in the race I think it likely would’ve come down to him versus Johnson (assuming Johnson didn’t have problems late). Last fall at Dover you really can’t gauge just how good he was because he was one of many drivers who got burned by the early caution during the pit cycle. That race wasn’t problem free for him. Around lap #300 he had a broken track bar. In spring 2012 he finished 3rd and had a 4th place average running position. In the nine race stretch between spring 2012 and spring 2008 Kenseth had one win and only finished outside the top five once. From a career perspective Dover has been a great track for him. He’s a two-time winner and has finished in the top five nearly 50% percent of the time. (Yahoo! A Driver)

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