Greg Biffle 2014 Fantasy NASCAR Preview
2013 Stats: Points Finish 9th, 0 Poles, 1 Win, 4 Top Fives, 13 Top Tens, Average Running Position 16.4, Average Finish 14.4, Laps Led 124, Driver Rating 82.95
Strengths- Look for Greg Biffle to be at his best on intermediate tracks and big flat tracks.
Weaknesses- Despite his recent success I wouldn’t feel comfortable picking him at Martinsville.
NASCAR 2014 Printable Schedule
Intermediate Track Grade- A-, Intermediate tracks have long been Biffle’s best track type. All but three of his victories have come at these venues. Last season his lone win came at Michigan in June. From a season long perspective Biffle was a disappointment on intermediate tracks. He had a 14.9 average finish, 2 top fives and just five top tens. Typically Biffle is a lot better than that on this track type. The reason for his disappointment in my opinion can be traced to Roush’s development of the Gen 6 car. In 2014 I expect this team to be more competitive on these tracks and catch up to the other teams. In 2012 on these tracks he scored the 12th most points and had a 9.7 average finish.
Flat Track Grade- B+, Biffle is a good flat track driver. I like him more at the big flat tracks. At Pocono he’s a former winner and last season he had results of 2nd and 10th. At Indy last season he finished a disappointing 24th. Prior to that race he had five straight top 8 finishes.
On the small flat tracks Biffle should bring home solid finishes. At New Hampshire last season he had results of 3rd and 15th. In three of the last five races at New Hampshire he’s had a top ten. At Phoenix he had results of 13th and 17th. Since Phoenix was reconfigured his 10.6 average finish ranks as the 5th best in the series.
Short Track Grade- B+, From an allocation standpoint I wouldn’t feel comfortable picking Biffle on short tracks with the exception of Bristol. At that venue last season he had results of 9th and 11th. At Thunder Valley his average finish is 12.0 and he’s finished in the top thirteen 77% percent of the time.
His recent results at Martinsville have been head scratching. He currently has three consecutive top tens and his average finish over the last five races is 11.2. That ranks as the 5th best in the series over that span of races. It’s important to point out though that over those races he has the 18th best driver rating and has only ran in the top fifteen 52.2% percent of the time. His Martinsville average finish is 20.2.
In the mid 2000’s Biffle had a lot of success at Richmond and had 5 straight top tens. Since 2007 he’s only finished in the top ten once. Last fall he finished 12th. Since 2011 minus last springs race (problems in the race) he has a 13.4 average finish and a 12.4 average running position.
2014 Yahoo Driver Lists: A, B, C
Restrictor Plate Track Grade- B+, Plate racing has been a strong point for Biffle in recent years. In 2012 on plate tracks he scored the 3rd most points and had a 8.75 average finish. Last season he didn’t fare as well. He finished 6th in the Daytona 500 and that was his lone top ten. His other finishes were 11th, 17th and 36th. Last season I think Biffle was really hurt by the loss of Kenseth as a teammate.
Road Course Track Grade- B+, Greg Biffle is a respectable prospect on serpentine tracks. He’s not gong to win at these venues anytime soon but he will likely get a good finish. Last season at Infineon he finished 8th. In 2012 he finished 7th. Since 2006 he’s finished 11th or better 75% percent of the time. At Watkins Glen he only has three top tens. Since 2007 minus the 2011 race (ran out of gas) he has a 13.7 average finish and a 13.8 average running position.
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