Dover FedEx 400 Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Tony Stewart – Last spring at Dover Tony Stewart won. For fantasy racers that do their homework it was extremely shocking. In that race Tony Stewart won with a car that was “teens” good at best. In the race he led the last three laps and had a 15th place average running position. In the race he also earned the 10th best driver rating. It’s not often you’ll see a winner have that low of a driver rating. If Denny Hamlin didn’t crash with about 20 laps to go which allowed Tony Stewart to use pit strategy it’s unlikely he would’ve even finished in the top ten. In the five Dover races prior to his win he finished between 20th and 29th every race. I would not recommend picking Tony Stewart in the Dover FedEx 400 because I think the risk level is high. (Yahoo B Driver)

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Kurt Busch – Prior to Kurt Busch’s win at Martinsville this spring his next most recent victory came here in fall 2011. In that race he started 2nd, led 90 laps and held off Jimmie Johnson for the win. From a career perspective Dover has been a volatile track for him. In 27 races he has 8 top tens and has finished south of 20th ten times. His fop fifteen percentage stands at 48% percent. Last fall at Dover I expected Kurt Busch to be competitive but he wasn’t. I’m going to chalk that up to the 78 team trying different things in the Chase to be more competitive and it back firing. In the race he finished 21st, had a 21st place average running position and earned the 20th best driver rating. In June 2013 Kurt Busch was very competitive. He finished 12th, had a 10th place average running position and earned the 9th best driver rating. In the race he had top five potential but he was out of sync with the field via pit strategy and had to pit with 37 laps remaining under green. Before he pitted he was running in 2nd. One slight concern I have about Kurt Busch that needs to get noted is that for whatever reason this has not been a good track for Stewart-Haas Racing in recent years. (Yahoo A Driver)

Recommended Reading: Dover Top Tier Elite Picks, Dover Front Runner Rankings, Yahoo C List Preview,  Who will win at Dover, Dover “Uh-Oh” Report

Martin Truex Jr. – Dover is Martin Truex Jr.’s home track and in 2007 he led 216 laps and won the first race of his career. For many years that also stood as his only win. At Dover Martin Truex Jr. has been a strong driver but all too often bad things happen to him that negate a good finish. Last fall his car was mediocre. Between laps 100 and 400 he ran between 15th and 20th. When the checkered flag waved he finished 15th. In spring 2013 at the Monster Mile he started in 2nd, consistently ran in the top three but his motor went south on lap 279. If that didn’t happen he looked like a lock for a top five finish. In both 2012 races at Dover Truex Jr. was good. In the combined events he had a 6.5 average finish and earned the 9th best driver rating. One notable strength of Truex Jr.’s at Dover is his qualifying prowess. In the last 8 races he has two poles and has only started outside the top ten once. (Yahoo B Driver)

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