Kansas Hollywood Casino 400 Fantasy NASCAR Top Tier Elite Picks
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Kevin Harvick – Kevin Harvick will be a good fantasy NASCAR pick to win the Kansas Hollywood Casino 400. In the last two races at Kansas Kevin Harvick has been the class of the field. This spring he had the dominant car but during the last pit cycle he lost the race when Jeff Gordon had a faster final pit stop. In the race Harvick started on the pole, earned the best driver rating, finished 2nd and led 119 laps. One trait that was notable about his car is that it was at its best in clean air. While he was back in traffic he struggled and looked nowhere near as strong. Last fall he started on the pole and in that race he closed the deal by going to victory lane. Also in that race he earned the best driver rating and led a race high 138 laps. While his car was out front probably the only driver who had anything for him was Jimmie Johnson. On lap 87 there was a caution during the pit cycle and it trapped him back in the 20′s. He was able to get his track position back later in the race but it was mostly through pit strategy. In spring 2013 Harvick had a good race. He finished 12th but in my opinion his car was better than that. What happened is that late in the event he elected to pit for four tires and almost everybody else did two. In the race he earned the 6th best driver rating and had an 8th place average running position. In the first race on the new surface he finished 11th but it’s important to note he had a 16th place average running position and earned the 18th best driver rating. This season on 1.5 mile tracks Harvick has often looked like the class field, but the “Closer” has failed to live up to his nickname at the end of these races. (Yahoo A Driver)
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Jeff Gordon – Jeff Gordon will be tough to beat in the Kansas Hollywood Casino 400. The two key attributes I like about him are his recent Kansas track record and how strong he’s been on 1.5 mile tracks this season. Since the Kansas repave he has a 6.8 average finish and an 11.8 average running position. This spring he emerged victorious after beating Kevin Harvick off pit road during the final pit cycle. From that point on he never looked back and led the remainder of the race. From a performance standpoint I think him and Harvick had equal cars despite the 110 lap led difference. The strength of the 24 was being good over long runs. Jeff Gordon had a great car at Kansas last fall that was also good over long runs. He started in 14th, had a 12th place average running position, earned the 6th best driver rating and finished 3rd. In the race he had a solid afternoon and early in the event he climbed up into the top five. Then in the middle portion of the race he ran mid pack because of pit strategy. Then at the end of the race because of pit strategy he climbed up to the front again. In spring 2013 Jeff Gordon started dead last in 43rd. It wasn’t much of a problem for him though. The 24 car worked good in traffic and by lap 30 he was up to 25th. His race in spring 2013 didn’t have any highlights. He finished 13th, had a 17th place average running position and earned the 21st best driver rating. In the first race on the current configuration he had a good performance. In that race he started in 17th, had a 9th place average running position and finished in 10th. From about lap #75 and on he never really ran outside the top ten. I would estimate his average running position in that portion of the race would likely be right around 6th. This season on 1.5 mile tracks Gordon has been strong. At these venues he’s scored the most points and has a series best 6.3 average finish. (Yahoo A Driver)
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Brad Keselowski – This season on 1.5 mile tracks Brad Keselowski has been very strong. There’s been seven races at tracks of this length and he’s won three of them including the last one visited. This season at these cookie cutters he has the best driver rating, best average running position (6.1), and led the most laps. In races where qualifying wasn’t canceled he has a 2nd place average starting position and hasn’t started worse than 3rd. His qualifying intangible could prove to be huge because track position was of utmost importance this spring at Kansas. Earlier this year Gordon and Harvick had the best cars but while they were back in traffic they had “just another car”. This spring at Kansas Keselowski started 3rd but by the end of the first lap he slid back to 8th. Then after his initial slide back he regrouped and drove up towards the front again. Through the first 100 laps of the race he was a stout performer. Then shortly after lap 100 a caution came out during the pit cycle and that trapped him back around 20th. From that point on he slowly climbed up to his eventual 13th place finish. I would like to note however it was probably his weakest performance at a 1.5 mile track that was “basically” incident free. Brad Keselowski was a strong performer at Kansas last fall. In the race he performed better than his 17th place finish. His race was far from problem free. On lap 39 he did an unexpected pit stop because he thought he had a flat. At the time of the incident he was running in the top five. Shortly after that a caution came out and he took the wave around. Then later in the race while he was leading with 44 laps to go he ran out of gas and after his pit stop he had trouble getting his car going again which dropped him down a lap. If he didn’t have problems in the race then I thought he would’ve been a top 5 contender. In April 2013 Brad Keselowski almost had a disastrous day at Kansas. He started in 33rd and near the beginning of the race his car got damaged. During the first caution he came into pit and his crew couldn’t fill up his car with gas. This problem kept him on pit road for quite a while and as a result he went one lap down. He managed to get back on the lead lap through pit strategy and then later in the race he once again used pit strategy and positioned himself in the top ten. When the checkered flag waved he crossed the finish line in 6th place. In fall 2012 Keselowski had a strong showing. He finished 8th, but his car was better than that. In that race he was top five good but after Jimmie Johnson wrecked he drove ultra conservative because of his points situation. (Yahoo B Driver)
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