Kentucky Quaker State 400 Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Greg Biffle – Greg Biffle has been showing more promise at the last two 1.5 mile tracks visited in Roush Fenway Racing’s latest iteration of the Gen6 car. At Charlotte he was probably about 12th place good but through fuel mileage strategy he was able to finish 2nd. At Kansas he also ran well and finished 12th. For the season at tracks of this length minus Atlanta where he had trouble he has a 11.3 average finish. Kentucky hasn’t been a great track for Biffle. Last summer he had his best race. In that event he started 24th, had a 20th place average running position, earned the 16th best driver rating and finished 14th. In 2013 he had a short and disappointing race. On lap 48 when Brad Keselowski spun across the track he got caught up in the carnage and got heavy damage. At the time of the incident he was running in the high-teens. Prior to his wreck I would estimate his average running position was around 21st. In 2012 he started in 11th and finished 21st. He performed better than his result. In the race he likely had about a 10th place car but late in the event he came in for a pit stop and others elected not to. In the race his average running position was 14th and he earned the 15th best driver rating. In 2011 at Kentucky he started in 21st and finished 21st. In that race he was much better than his finish. With 7 laps to go he was running in 10th but he ran down the apron and got loose. This caused him to fade back to 15th. He then pitted during a caution with two laps remaining and restarted 21st but he was unable to improve his position over the closing laps. (Yahoo B Driver)

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Clint Bowyer – Clint Bowyer has been consistent at 1.5 mile tracks this season. In all five races at tracks of this length he’s finished between 20th and 24th. In the combined races at these venues he has a 23.4 average starting position, 22.6 average running position and has a 21.6 average finish. Since he’s performed like a low twenties driver every race it’s reasonable to expect him to perform within that range again. Last year at Kentucky he performed better than he finished. In the race he started in 11th, had a 14th place average running position and finished 23rd. Up until about the final 50 laps it looked like he would finish around 11th. In July 2013 he had a great race. He started 15th, had a 6th place average running position, finished 3rd and earned the 3rd best driver rating. From about lap 90 to the conclusion he consistently ran in the top five. In 2012 he finished 16th but that result didn’t come easy. Around lap #160 he was battling Joey Logano for 10th but Ryan Newman got into the back of Logano and it shot the #20 right into Bowyer. As a result of that he had to do an emergency pit stop that cost him two laps. (Yahoo B Driver)

Further Recommended Reading – Kentucky Top Tier Elite Picks, Kentucky Front Runner Rankings, Kentucky Scouting Report

Austin Dillon – Austin Dillon likely has high-teen to low-twenties fantasy NASCAR potential at Kentucky. I’m basing that off how he’s run in recent races at 1.5 mile tracks. In the last four races at tracks of this length he has a 19.5 average starting position, 19.5 average finish and an 18.8 average running position. In every race over this stretch he’s finished between 16th and 22nd. Last year at Kentucky he finished where he started. It should be noted however he ran a little better than his result. In the race he had a 13th place average running position, earned the 13th best driver rating and finished 16th. In his first start in 2013 he drove the #51 car. In that race he started 26th and had a 20th place average running position. In 22.1% percent of the laps he ran inside the top fifteen. When the checkered flag waved he finished 24th and earned the 24th best driver rating. In the lower series Dillon has had some success in the Bluegrass State. In 2012 in the Nationwide series he won both poles and both races. (Yahoo B Driver)

Make sure you read the full spectrum of our Kentucky Quaker State 400 Fantasy NASCAR Rankings

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