Talladega CampingWorld 500 Fantasy NASCAR Personal / Comparative Fantasy Values

Drivers have two types of fantasy value every week. They have Personal Fantasy Value and Comparative Fantasy Value.

Personal Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver is at a certain track compared to the other venues on the circuit.

Comparative Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver compares to the competition at a certain track.

Let’s talk about Joey Logano’s fantasy values. His Personal Fantasy Value is low. That’s not an indication that he’ll be a fantasy dud on Sunday. It tells you that Talladega hasn’t been a great track for him personally. In the last 8 Talladega races he has zero top tens and a 26.1 average finish.

His Comparative Fantasy Value is high. I expect him to be competitive on Sunday. This spring before he wrecked he showed top ten potential. Last fall at the end of the race his car was extremely competitive. In spring 2014 he also ran well but wrecked late. Also you can’t overlook the fact that Joey Logano won the season opening Daytona 500.

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