Phoenix Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions
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AJ Allmendinger – Phoenix has been one of AJ Allmendinger’s better ovals. He’s raced here twelve times and has had a result in the top fifteen 42% percent of the time, and a result in the top twenty 83% percent of the time. On the current Phoenix configuration AJ Allmendinger has a 15.7 average finish. This spring started last because of an engine change, had a 22nd place average running position and finished 17th. That finish overrates him slightly because he moved up about 5 positions following the late caution. Last fall he started in 24th and finished 16th. In the event he performed better than his result and at times it looked like he would challenge for a top ten. When the final caution came out with 24 laps to go he was running in 12th but following his pit stop he was running in the 20’s. Over the closing laps he had to rally hard to earn his result. In spring 2014 he was far from competitive. He started in 25th and finished two laps down in 26th. Also in that race he had a 27th place average running position and earned the 24th best driver rating. In spring 2013 when he drove the #51 he finished 11th but let’s not overlook his 21st place average running position. In spring 2012 he finished 18th. In the first race on the current track configuration he started in 2nd and finished 6th. In the first three races of the season at shorter flat tracks Allmendinger finished in the teens. In the last two he’s finished in the twenties. (Yahoo B Driver)
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Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – Phoenix has been a pretty good track for Ricky Stenhouse Jr. He’s raced here five times and has a 15.0 average finish. In every race he’s finished between 12th and 18th. It should be noted that only at one other track has he finished in the top 20 every race. This spring he finished 12th which tied his best finish at Phoenix. Also in the race it should be noted he earned the 16th best driver rating and had a 19th place average running position. At the end it looked like he would finish 16th but he benefited from the late caution. Last fall Stenhouse Jr. started in 18th and finished 17th. For much of the race he didn’t run well at all and if the race was 100 laps shorter he looked like a mid-twenties driver. In spring 2014 he didn’t have a great race and finished 18th. Also in the race he had a 25th place average running position and earned the 25th best driver rating. In fall 2013 he finished 12th despite having a 21st place average running position. In spring 2013 he started in 12th and finished 16th. This year at shorter flat tracks Stenhouse Jr. has a 17.2 average finish and has scored the 15th most points. (Yahoo B Driver)
Further Recommended Reading – Phoenix Top Tier Elite Picks, Phoenix Front Runner Rankings, Who will win at Phoenix, Phoenix Scouting Report, Loop Data Box Score From The Last Race At Phoenix
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