Trevor Bayne 2016 Fantasy NASCAR Preview
2015 Stats: Points Finish 29th, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 top Fives, 2 Top Tens, Average Finish 25.8, Average Running Position 26.8, Laps Led 0, Driver Rating 56.39
Strengths – In 2016 beyond a surprise good finish due to attrition I would look for Trevor Bayne to be at his best at high-speed intermediate tracks.
Weaknesses – The #6 Ford lacked speed across the board last year. Over the second half of the season his best finish was 15th (Bristol).
Track Type Fantasy Value Key = Elite > High > Moderate > Low
Intermediate Track Fantasy Value – Low
Last year at intermediate tracks Bayne didn’t run well. He had a 25.3 average finish and a 26.4 average running position. He only had two good results on this track type last year. His first good result was at Michigan in June when he finished 9th. You can give that an asterisk mark because it’s largely the product of the event being rain shortened. His average running position that afternoon was 22nd. His other good finish was a 13th at Kentucky when the low down force rules package was used.
In 2016 I expect him to show some improvement on this track type. Look for a typical good finish for him to be a result between the high-teens and the low twenties.
2016 Printable PDF NASCAR Schedule
Flat Track Fantasy Value – Low
Big flat tracks weren’t friendly to Bayne last year. In his one incident free race at Pocono in June he finished 24th. In the other two races he finished 40th (wrecked at Indy and had overheating issues at Pocono 2). At both big flat tracks his overall average finish is south of 30th.
The small flat tracks weren’t much kinder to him. In three of those four races he finished in south of 28th. In the combined races at shorter flat tracks last year his average finish was 27.5 and he scored the 30th most points.
Short Track Fantasy Value – Low
Short tracks aren’t good venues for Trevor Bayne. Last year on this track type he had a 23.2 average finish and scored the 22nd most points. Between the three short tracks I don’t like his fantasy value at any venue. A good finish for him on this track type would likely be the product of attrition.
At Martinsville Bayne has three starts under his belt and his average finish is 28th. In 2015 at the Paper Clip he finished 18th and 31st. At Richmond last year he made his first two starts and finished 23rd and 24th. Last summer at Bristol he had his best result on this track type and finished 15th. It’s important to note in that race he finished two laps down so you can’t get to excited. His overall Bristol average finish is 25.7.
Trevor Bayne Fantasy NASCAR Portal Page
Restrictor Plate Track Fantasy Value – Medium
If Trevor Bayne is going to sneak in a good finish it will likely come on this track type. Since he won the 2011 Daytona 500 he’s been a volatile performer on this track type. Last summer at Daytona Trevor Bayne finished 9th. Between his lone victory and last summer his best result was 20th and his average finish was 31.4. Last year at Talladega Bayne finished 21st and 41st. His overall Talladega average finish is 28.5.
Road Course Track Fantasy Value – Low
I really don’t see much upside in Trevor Bayne at road courses. He kept his car on track last year which is good, but he didn’t perform well. In 2015 he finished 22nd at Watkins Glen and 23rd at Sonoma. Prior to 2015 he had no other starts on this track type.
