Casey Mears 2016 Fantasy NASCAR Preview
Casey Mears 2015 Stats: Points Finish 23rd, 0 Wins, 0 Poles, 0 Top Fives, 1 Top Ten, Average Finish 23.1, Average Running Position 23.8, Laps Led 4, Driver Rating 61.55
Strengths – Look for Casey Mears to have his best days at plate tracks and road courses. Also at shorter flat tracks he’s capable of coming home with a solid result.
Weaknesses – Intermediate tracks which comprise the core of the schedule aren’t high-points for Casey Mears.
Track Type Fantasy Value Key = Elite > High > Moderate > Low
Intermediate Track Fantasy Value – Low
Intermediate tracks aren’t an area of strength for the 13 team. A typical finish that you should expect if you pick him on this track type is a result in the twenties. In the Chase on this track type minus Homestead where he was involved in an accident he finished between 18th and 26th every race. For the season at these venues he had a 24.6 average finish and only had a result in the top twenty 29% percent of the time.
2016 Printable PDF NASCAR Schedule
Flat Track Fantasy Value – Medium
Last year at flat tracks Casey Mears scored the 20th most points and had a 20.0 average finish.
At flat tracks Casey Mears is better at shorter venues. At New Hampshire he finished in the teens twice last year. At Phoenix last year he finished in the low twenties twice. In 2014 in the desert he was mid-teens good performance wise in both races.
At big flat tracks last year Mears had a 21.3 average finish. At both big flat tracks if he has an incident free race you can count on him finishing within a few deviations of 20th.
Short Track Fantasy Value – Low
Casey Mears isn’t a very strong short track driver. Last year on this track type he had a 23.7 average finish.
Martinsville is his best short track. Last year he finished 15th and 17th. Since 2013 minus a fall 2014 wreck he has an 18.6 average finish and has had a result between 16th and 24th every race.
Richmond hasn’t been a good track for him. Since 2010 his best result is 17th and his average finish is 24.9. Last year he finished 21st and 30th.
Bristol hasn’t been a good track for him. He’s only finished in the top ten once and has a 27.9 average result. Last year he finished 23rd and 36th.
I will note if attrition is high Casey Mears can sneak in a good result on this track type.
Restrictor Plate Track Fantasy Value – High
Casey Mears is a solid sleeper at plate tracks. In 2014 on this track type he scored the 2nd most points in the series. Last year he ran well in both Daytona races but didn’t come home with good results at Talladega.
At Daytona Mears has run well recently. In the last five Daytona races his 8.0 average finish ranks second best behind Dale Earnhardt Jr. Last summer at Daytona he finished 11th which snapped his four race top ten streak.
At Talladega last year he finished 28th and 31st. In 2014 at that venue he finished 10th and 14th.
Casey Mears Fantasy NASCAR Portal
Road Course Track Fantasy Value – High
Casey Mears is at his best at road courses. If you pick him you can likely expect a low double digit to mid-teens finish.
Last year at Sonoma Casey Mears was mid-teens good until the wheels came off, literally (video). In the three Sonoma races prior to that he finished 13th, 15th and 16th.
At Watkins Glen Casey Mears has been consistent. In the last eight races at that venue he’s finished between 12th and 20th. Over that stretch he has a 16.4 average finish and a 20.0 average running position. Last year Mears finished 18th.
