Austin Dillon 2016 Fantasy NASCAR Preview
Austin Dillon 2015 Stats: Points Finish 21st, 0 Wins, 1 Top Five, 5 Top Tens, Average Finish 21.0, Average Running Position 19.2, Laps Led 39, Driver Rating 75.8
Strengths – Austin Dillon is at his best at plate tracks and intermediate tracks.
Weaknesses – Consistency has been an issue for Dillon. On a few occasions last year when he had really good cars trouble found him.
Track Type Fantasy Value Key = Elite > High > Moderate > Low
Intermediate Track Fantasy Value – High
I’m expecting big things from Austin Dillon at high-speed intermediate tracks in 2016. In the last third of the 2015 season on this track type he was very competitive. Strength wise over the closing portion of the season he was top ten strong nearly every race despite what his finishes tell you. In 2016 I think there’s a great chance high-speed intermediate tracks might prove to be his best track type.
For the season at intermediate tracks in 2015 Austin Dillon had a 22.1 average finish and scored the 20th most points. In 2014 on this track type he scored the 16th most points.
2016 Printable PDF NASCAR Schedule
Flat Track Fantasy Value – Medium
Last year at flat tracks Dillon had a 17.4 average finish and scored the 17th most points. At both the big flat tracks, and shorter flat tracks I would say he has high-medium fantasy value.
On paper New Hampshire is his best flat track. He finished 22nd last fall but in the three races prior to that he had an 11th place average finish. At Phoenix performance wise when he has an incident free race he’s been a 15th to 24th place driver.
Pocono hasn’t been a bad track for him. His average finish there is 16.0 and in all four events he’s finished in the teens. At Indy he finished 10th in 2014 but in his other two starts there he has results in the mid-twenties.
Short Track Fantasy Value – Medium
Austin Dillon has been a good driver at short tracks. Between the three I like him the most at Bristol and the least at Richmond.
At Bristol Dillon has performed well. In three of his four races he finished between 10th and 13th. Last year he finished 10th and 13th.
At Martinsville he’s had some success. In three of his four races he’s finished between 12th and 18th. Last year he finished 18th and 41st. In that 41st place finish he had low teens potential but had electrical issues which hampered his afternoon.
I wouldn’t recommend Dillon at Richmond. He’s raced there four times and in three of them he’s finished 27th. His other result not 27th was a 20th in fall 2014.
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Restrictor Plate Track Fantasy Value – High
Austin Dillon is a solid restrictor plate driver. If you pick him on this track type you can typically expect a result of mid-teens or better.
Between the two plate tracks I like him more at Daytona. In the last four Daytona races he has an 8.8 average finish and the 9th best driver rating. Last year he finished 7th and 14th.
At Talladega he’s been a low to mid-teens driver. In three of the last four Talladega races he’s finished between 13th and 15th. The lone exception over this stretch came in spring 2015 when his engine caught fire. At the time of that incident he was running around 16th.
In 2014 on this track type he scored the 3rd most points in the series.
Austin Dillon Fantasy NASCAR Portal
Road Course Track Fantasy Value – Medium
When Austin Dillon has incident free races at road courses he’s proven himself to be a high-teens driver. In three of his four starts on this track type he’s finished in either 16th or 17th.
At Sonoma he’s been consistent and has finished 17th in both events.
At Watkins Glen last year he was involved in an accident and finished 36th. In 2014 at that venue he finished 16th.
In 2014 on this track type he scored the 8th most points on this track type.
