Greg Biffle 2016 Fantasy NASCAR Preview
Greg Biffle 2015 Stats: Points Finish 20th, 0 Wins, 3 Top Fives, 4 Top Tens, Average Finish 20.0, Average Running Position 21.15, Laps Led 40, Driver Rating 68.24
Strengths – In 2016 I expect Greg Biffle to be at his best road courses, plate tracks and big flat tracks. If Roush Fenway Racing can find speed he might once again have fantasy value at intermediate tracks.
Weaknesses – Short tracks and shorter-flat tracks were low points for him last year.
Track Type Fantasy Value Key = Elite > High > Moderate > Low
Intermediate Track Fantasy Value – Medium
2015 wasn’t a great season for Biffle at intermediate tracks. He had an 18.9 average finish and had a result in the top twenty 65% percent of the time. This team did show some improvement at the close of 2015. In the last three races on this track type he finished between 15th and 19th.
Historically intermediate tracks have ranked as Biffle’s best track type. In order for Biffle to show improvement on this track type it will require Roush Fenway Racing to find more speed. The 2016 rules package might prove favorable for Greg Biffle, but of course it remains to be seen.
2016 Printable PDF NASCAR Schedule
Flat Track Fantasy Value – Medium
Last year Biffle had some success at flat tracks. In 2015 he scored the 16th most points and had a 17.0 average finish. Two of his three top fives last year came on this track type. It’s important to note they both came through fuel strategy.
Last year he was at his best at big flat tracks where he scored the 8th most points and had a 12.0 average finish. His best big flat track is Pocono. In his last seven races there he has a 9.2 average finish. Last year at Indy Biffle finished 19th. His overall Indy average finish is 13.6.
Last year at shorter flat tracks he really didn’t run well. He finished 4th at New Hampshire in the fall with fuel strategy but in the other three events he finished 25th, 27th and 27th.
Short Track Fantasy Value – Medium
Greg Biffle might sneak in a good finish on this track type if the attrition rate is high. Last year he didn’t run well at these venues. In the six races on this track type last year he had a 25.3 average finish. Among the fully funded “power teams” that was literally the bottom of the barrel. In 2016 I think he’ll show some improvement on this track type.
Between the three short tracks I like him the most at Bristol. Last year he didn’t have a good result in either race and finished 25th and 30th. His overall Bristol average finish is 13.1 and in the four races prior to last year he finished between 9th and 12th.
At Martinsville last year he finished 19th and 26th. In the seven races prior to last year he had a 12.4 average finish and a 15.1 average running position.
Richmond is his least successful short track. Last year he finished 21st and 31st. Since 2007 at Richmond he’s only finished in the top ten once and that result was a 9th.
Restrictor Plate Track Fantasy Value – High
Don’t overlook Greg Biffle at plate tracks. Last year he had a down year and only had a good finish in the season opening Daytona 500. In the three seasons prior to 2015 he accumulated the 9th, 11th and 3rd most points on this track type.
If you’re looking to pick Greg Biffle at Daytona, make sure you do it in February. In the season opening Daytona 500 he currently has four straight top tens. In July at that venue he has four straight results between 17th and 29th.
At Talladega Biffle has had problems in the last three races with finishes of 20th, 25th and 37th. In the 7 Talladega races prior to that he had the 6th best driver rating and an 11.6 average finish.
Greg Biffle Fantasy NASCAR Portal
Road Course Track Fantasy Value – High
Road courses aren’t bad venues for Greg Biffle. On this track type he’s very capable of coming home with a good result.
Last year at Sonoma Biffle ran relatively well but walked away with a 27th place finish after dropping many positions late. His average running position that afternoon was 16th. In the three Sonoma races prior to last year he finished 7th, 8th and 9th.
At Watkins Glen he had a solid afternoon last year and finished 14th. In the last four Watkins Glen races combined he has an 11.0 average finish.