Dover Fantasy NASCAR Mid Pack Predictions

Paul Menard – Paul Menard has back to back top tens in the Dover spring race. His strong showing in spring 2015 made his fall 2015 performance look like a disaster. Last fall while he was in the Chase his performance was atrocious. He didn’t perform near any level that suggested he should be competing for a championship. I mean he was really uncompetitive. When the race reached it’s conclusion he finished three laps down in 25th. Nothing notable happened to him in the race, he was just that bad. Also I’ll note his average running position was 23rd and he only raced in the top fifteen .5% percent of the laps. In June 2015 he had a quality performance. He earned the 7th best driver rating, finished 8th and had an 11th place average running position. Only once has he finished better here (2007, 7th). In fall 2014 he started in 19th, had a 21st place average running position and finished one lap down in 16th. In June 2014 he had one of his best Dover performances and came home with a 10th place result, 10th place average running position and the 12th best driver rating. (Yahoo B Driver)

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Tony Stewart – It’s looking like Dover will go in the history books as the site of Tony Stewart’s last win. Early in his career Dover ranked as one of Stewart’s best tracks. In his first 12 Dover races he finished in the top 11 every race. Since then he’s only mustered 6 more top tens. Last fall Tony Stewart struggled throughout the race and had his worst showing since his win. In the race he was a mid-twenties driver. He started 25th, had a 24th place average running position, earned the 24th best driver rating and finished 26th. Last June he didn’t have a great car but he managed to escape with a 16th place finish. It should be noted however in the race his average running position was 23rd and he earned the 24th best driver rating. In fall 2014 Tony Stewart had an OK race. He didn’t do anything special but he did run in the top quarter of the field all race long. In the event he started 15th, finished 14th, earned the 13th best driver rating and had a 12th place average running position. In spring 2014 he performed well. Through the first 3/4ths of the race he looked like a sub top ten driver but in the last quarter of the race I would estimate his average running position was around 5th. When the checkered flag waved Stewart finished 7th, had an 11th place average running position and earned the 10th best driver rating. His next most recent race was in spring 2013 when he went to victory lane. It was both unexpected and shocking. In the race he led 3 laps, had a 15th place average running position and earned the 10th best driver rating. It’s important to note that win was largely the product of pit strategy. If a late caution didn’t come out he likely wouldn’t of even finished in the top ten. (Yahoo B Driver)

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