Michigan Fantasy NASCAR Personal / Comparative Fantasy Values

Drivers have two types of fantasy value every week. They have Personal Fantasy Value, and Comparative Fantasy Value.

Personal Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver is at a certain track compared to the other venues on the circuit.

Comparative Fantasy Value is an estimation of how good the driver compares to the competition at a certain track.

Let’s talk about 5-time champion Jimmie Johnson’s Michigan fantasy values.

His Personal Fantasy Value is low. Although he’s a past champion at Michigan and typically runs well it hasn’t been a friendly track to him. He’s very prone to having problems at Michigan. He’s been robbed of a handful of wins here in his career. In 5 of the last 7 Michigan races he’s finished 19th or worse. That’s horrendous by Jimmie Johnson standards and that’s why his Personal Fantasy Value is low.

His Comparative Fantasy Value is high. I expect him to be very competitive against the field on Sunday. This year at high-speed intermediate tracks nobody has scored more points then Jimmie Johnson.