New Hampshire Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Ranking Picks
1) Kevin Harvick (Starting – 8th) (Odds To Win – 5/1)
New Hampshire Fantasy Outlook – Kevin Harvick will be tough to beat at New Hampshire. Last year in both races he had the car to beat. Since he’s been in the #4 car at New Hampshire he’s top 3 good performance wise every race despite what his results show. This year at shorter flat tracks that correlate to success Harvick has been an elite performer. He won at Phoenix and finished 5th at Richmond. Also between those combined races he has the 2nd best driver rating, a 3.5 average running position, has led 202 laps and has run a series best 153 fastest laps. In Happy Hour Harvick had a great car. He posted the 4th quickest lap and had the best 10 lap average.
New Hampshire Track History – Kevin Harvick has been a fantasy ace in recent races at New Hampshire. Over the last three races he has the best driver rating, best average running position (3.3), led the most laps (379) and has a misleading 9.0 average finish. Last fall nobody was better than him but he finished with an asterisk mark 21st place finish after running out of fuel while leading with 3 laps to go. In the race he led 216 laps and earned the best driver rating. In summer 2015 I thought he also had the best car but an untimely caution hurt him and led to a Kyle Busch victory. If that caution didn’t happen I thought he would’ve won. In that race he finished 3rd, earned the 3rd best driver rating and led 59 laps. Over long runs his car was the class of the field. In fall 2014 he led 104 laps and also finished 3rd. In July 2014 he had top five potential but finished 30th after running out of gas late.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings Price $10,700
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2) Kyle Busch (Starting – 2nd) (Odds To Win – 5/1)
New Hampshire Fantasy Outlook – Kyle Busch is a strong competitor at New Hampshire who you can likely count on contending for the win. In 4 of the last 6 New Hampshire races he’s finished in the top two. You have to love that level of consistency at such a high level. In his career at New Hampshire Busch has two wins and has finished in the top eleven 64% percent of the time. This year at shorter flat tracks that correlate to success Busch has results of 2nd and 4th. Kyle Busch has good short run and long run speed this weekend. His ten lap averages on Saturday ranked as the 2nd and 6th best.
New Hampshire Track History – Kyle Busch is an elite performer at New Hampshire. If he didn’t have a flat tire that led to him getting into the wall last fall he would have 6 straight top tens at New Hampshire. That problem last fall happened on lap 160 while he was running in 9th. It led to him finishing 37th. In summer 2015 Kyle Busch had a strong showing and raced his way to victory lane. Additionally in the race he earned the best driver rating, had a 3rd place average running position and led 96 laps. In September 2014 he finished 8th which is amazing when you consider he was involved in an accident on lap 188 which damaged his car and dropped him from 7th back to the twenties. In the three New Hampshire races prior to that he had results of 2nd, 2nd and 2nd.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings Price $10,500
Further Recommended Reading – New Hampshire Post Practice Predictions, Practice Notes / Practice Speeds Center, Speed Cheat Sheet, New Hampshire Starting Lineup, Yahoo Start Page, DraftKings Start Page
3) Brad Keselowski (Starting – 9th) (Odds To Win – 6/1)
New Hampshire Fantasy Outlook – Brad Keselowski is an elite New Hampshire performer who’s poised to be one of the drivers to beat. He’s extremely strong here and has arguably been the best driver recently by many statistical measures. One attribute you have to love about Keselowski is his momentum. He’s entering the race with back to back wins and has only once finished lower than 10th since May. In practice Keselowski had good speed. His ten lap averages between the respective sessions ranked as the 3rd and 7th best. In Happy Hour following a 15 lap run his crew chief said, “Nobody picked up as much as you did.”
New Hampshire Track History – Brad Keselowski is a very strong performer at New Hampshire. He’s a recent champion and has 9 straight results in the top 12. Over this nine race stretch he has the best driver rating, best average finish (5.6), best average running position (7.6) and has led the 3rd most laps (344). Last fall he had a stellar car but walked away with an asterisk mark 12th place finish after getting penalized late in the race for jumping a restart while battling for the lead. Performance wise I thought he had the second best car. In summer 2015 he once again had the second best car by my estimation. In that event he finished 2nd, earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 3rd place average running position and led 100 laps. In 2014 he had a great season. In fall 2014 he didn’t have an incident free race (crashed into the wall) but finished 7th, had a 7th place average running position and led 78 laps. In July 2014 he was dominant. He finished 1st, earned the best driver rating and led nearly half the race (138).
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings Price $10,300
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