Indianapolis Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Ranking Picks

1) Kyle Busch (Starting – 1st) (Odds To Win – 6/1)
Indianapolis Fantasy Outlook – Kyle Busch will be a factor at Indy. He’s the defending champion and has performed at a very high level year after year. Currently at Indy he has a series high 6 consecutive top tens. In his career at Indy minus 2009 when he had some type of major problem and the 2008 tire debacle he’s never finished outside the top ten. One attribute you have to like about Kyle Busch is that he’s starting to build up momentum again. Over the last four races he’s scored the 2nd most points and has a series best 7.3 average finish. On Sunday Kyle Busch is starting on the pole. This is a track position race and that’s a big advantage. In Happy Hour he also had good long run speed and posted the 2nd best ten lap average.
Indianapolis Track History – Indy is a great track for Kyle Busch. In 82% percent of his starts he’s finished in the top ten, and only once has he finished south of 15th. In 3 of the last 4 Indy races Busch has finished in the top two. Over that stretch he has a 3.8 average finish and the 2nd best driver rating. Last year Busch had a great car and raced his way to victory lane. I will note if Kevin Harvick didn’t have a poor late restart Busch probably wouldn’t have won. In addition to winning he earned the 2nd best driver rating, had a 5th place average running position and led 19 laps. In 2014 he finished 2nd and earned the 3rd best driver rating. In the four Indy races prior to that he had results of 2nd, 8th, 10th and 10th.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings Price $10,400

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2) Kevin Harvick (Starting – 7th) (Odds To Win – 6/1)
Indianapolis Fantasy Outlook – Indy is a great track for Kevin Harvick and you can count on him running well. He’s a past champion and minus the 2008 tire debacle he has an 8.2 average finish. Last year at Indy Harvick had a great car and if he didn’t have a poor late restart he likely would’ve raced his way to victory lane. One aspect you have to like about Harvick is the safety that picking him provides. At Indy he’s finished in the top ten 60% percent of the time, top fifteen 80% percent of the time and has only once finished outside the top twenty. Since the Coca Cola 600 minus Daytona he has a 5.8 average finish. Between both practice sessions this weekend Kevin Harvick has shown good speed.
Indianapolis Track History – Kevin Harvick is an elite performer at Indy. He runs extremely well and has been stellar in the #4 car. In his combined starts in that ride (last two races) he has the best driver rating, best average running position, led the most laps and a 5.5 average finish. Last year Harvick had the car to beat but finished 3rd after having a poor late restart which cost him the victory. Additionally in that race he earned the best driver rating, led the most laps (75) and had the best average running position (3.0). In 2014 he had a good showing but wasn’t quite as strong. In that race he finished 8th, had a 6th place average running position and earned the 4th best driver rating.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings Price $10,500

Further Recommended Reading – Indy Practice Notes / Practice Speeds Center, Indy Speed Cheat Sheet, Qualifying Results, DraftKings Start Page, Yahoo Start Page

3) Denny Hamlin (Starting – 4th) (Odds To Win – 18/1)
Indianapolis Fantasy Outlook – Denny Hamlin is a driver who rises to the occasion and performs at his best when the stakes are the highest. Indy is one of those special races that he has circled on the schedule. He’s never won at Indy but he’s come very close. Recently at Indy he’s been one of the better performers. In three of the last four Indy races he’s finished in the top six. Look for Denny Hamlin to perform very well on Sunday. In Happy Hour nobody focused more than Denny Hamlin at being good over a long run. In that session he ran the most laps and had the best ten lap average.
Indianapolis Track History – Denny Hamlin is a strong performer at Indy. Over the last four races he has an 8.0 average finish, the 8th best driver rating and a 10.8 average running position. Last year at Indy he ran very well. When the checkered flag waved he finished 5th and earned the 9th best driver rating. Over the last third of the race he essentially ran 7th or better. In 2014 he had a solid chance to win but his pit crew messed up during a pit stop. If they would’ve executed it properly he would’ve been the race leader, since they didn’t he fell back to 11th. In 2013 he didn’t run well. He finished 18th and had a 14th place average running position. In 2012 he had a strong showing finishing 6th and earning the 5th best driver rating.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings Price $9,000