Bristol Fantasy NASCAR Confidence Ranking Picks

1) Carl Edwards (Starting – 1st)
Bristol Fantasy Outlook – Carl Edwards will be a favorite at Bristol. It’s a great track for him and recently nobody has been better than him here. Since 2014 at Thunder Valley he has two wins, the best driver rating, best average running position (6.4), led the most laps (514) and has the best average finish (8.0) among drivers who competed in more than one event. On Saturday Carl Edwards is going to start on the pole. That’s the same position he started in this spring when he raced his way to victory lane. If Edwards avoids trouble look for him to finish near the front. This year at short tracks Carl Edwards is the only driver who’s 3 for 3 in terms of finishing in the top ten at short tracks.
Bristol Track History – Bristol has been a special track for Carl Edwards. He’s won here four times and has recently ranked as one of the best. Over the last five races he has two wins, two 7th place results and an asterisk mark 24th place finish. This spring Edwards had a great car and raced his way to victory lane in dominant fashion. After Kenseth had trouble he was essentially unopposed. In addition to finishing first he earned the best driver rating by a wide margin, had a 2nd place average running position and led 276 laps. Last summer he had a great car and finished 7th. I will note he was likely better than his result because on lap 354 while he was running in 2nd he made an unexpected pit stop for a flat tire. Additionally in that race he earned the 4th best driver rating and led 74 laps. In spring 2015 he finished 24th but that’s a misleading result. In that race he wrecked late while running in 2nd. From that race it should be noted he had a 5th place average running position, earned the 6th best driver rating and led 86 laps. In the two Bristol races prior to that he had results of 7th and 1st.
Yahoo B Driver / DraftKings Price $9,700

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2) Joey Logano (Starting – 10th)
Bristol Fantasy Outlook – Joey Logano will be one of the drivers to beat at Bristol. On Saturday night he’ll be vying for his third straight win in the Bristol night race. He has a great chance to accomplish that feat because recently he’s ranked as one of the best here. Performance wise he’s likely been top five good over the last 6 Bristol races despite what his results show. One aspect you have to like about Logano is how well the #22 team is performing at the moment. He’s coming off a runner-up finish at Watkins Glen and if races were incident free for him, he would likely have 12 straight top tens.
Bristol Track History – Joey Logano has become a fantasy ace at Bristol and the night race has been a particularly strong event for him. Over the last four Bristol night races he has the best driver rating, best average finish (3.8), best average running position (6.8) and has led the most laps. This spring at Bristol Logano had a good car and finished 10th. I think he was likely better than his result because his race wasn’t incident free. In the race he had a lug nut issue, a speeding penalty and a battery problem. His late battery issue with 35 laps to go dropped him from 5th to 17th. Last August he had a great car and raced his way to victory lane earning the best driver rating, having a 3rd place average running position and leading 176 laps. In spring 2015 nobody really knows just how good he was because he was caught up in an early wreck before lap 20 while running in the top five. In August 2014 he had an impressive performance passing Kenseth late, and holding off Keselowski at the end. In addition to finishing first he earned the best driver rating, had a 4th place average running position and led 76 laps.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings Price $10,000

Further Recommended Reading – Post Practice Predictions (another fantasy take), Starting Lineup, Practice Notes / Practice Speeds Center, Speed Cheat Sheet, PROS Rankings, Asterisk Mark Report, Yahoo Start Page, DraftKings Start Page

3) Matt Kenseth (Starting – 5th)
Bristol Fantasy Outlook – Matt Kenseth will be a tough competitor at Bristol. Since the track was reconfigured a very strong case could be made that he’s been the best overall driver. Throughout his career he’s performed at an elite level at Thunder Valley. He’s won here four times, has finished in the top five 39% percent of the time and in the top ten 61% percent of the time. Over the last six Bristol races I would argue he’s likely been top five good performance wise every race. Look for him to compete for a top five again on Saturday night.
Bristol Track History – Bristol is a great track for Matt Kenseth. It might just be his best track, at no other venue has he been to victory lane more (4). Recently at Bristol he’s performed at an extremely high level. Even though he has misleading results in the last two Bristol races since 2013 he has the 2nd best driver rating and has led the most laps. This spring he had a great car which might’ve potentially been the best. Unfortunately a couple blown tires derailed his afternoon and led to his 36th place finish. His first flat tire happened on lap 187 while he was leading. Also before he had that flat it should be noted he led 142 laps. In August 2015 he likely had a great car but his engine blew up while he was running in 4th on lap 111. In spring 2015 he raced his way to victory lane from the pole. Additionally in that race it should be noted he earned the best driver rating, had a 3rd place average running position and led 62 laps. In August 2014 Kenseth was fast. He finished 3rd, earned the 5th best driver rating, had a 7th place average running position and led 62 laps. In August 2013 Kenseth raced his way to victory lane and led 149 laps.
Yahoo A Driver / DraftKings Price $9,200